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Montreal CanadiensDavid Reinbacher
#64 · D · 6' 2" · 194 lb · 1 games
Stats updated: Apr 14, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.
- Experience
- Rookie
Line
Shots on Goal · season avg 1.0 SOGSave this PrizePicks prop to your Playbook to track it
Verdict
vs 0.5 SOGShots on GoalHot overFireFactor 62/100· model 66% over
Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)100supports it
Projection vs line66supports it
Consistency100supports it
Projection
1.0 SOG
L5 1.0 · L10 1.0 · med 1.0
Consistency
Steady
floor 1.0 · ceil 1.0
Matchup
F
defense vs role
Recent history runs over on this line on a small sample, so read with extra caution. Descriptive research from past games — not betting advice.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
Last 51 game
100%over
1 over · 0 under
Low confidence95% CI 21%–100%Last 101 game
100%over
1 over · 0 under
Low confidence95% CI 21%–100%Last 201 game
100%over
1 over · 0 under
Low confidence95% CI 21%–100%Season1 game
100%over
1 over · 0 under
Low confidence95% CI 21%–100%Alternate lines — Shots on Goal (SOG)
SOG over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.
| Line | Over | O / U | Confidence interval |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5Current | 100% | 1/1 | |
| 0% | 0/1 | ||
| 0% | 0/1 | ||
| 0% | 0/1 |
Situational splits
Over 0.5 SOG by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
Home / Away
Away100%1/1Low
Last matchup — @ PHI
Apr 14, 2026
28thof 32 in SOG allowed to defensemen
PHI allows 1.2 SOG per game to defensemen (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 289 player-games
ToughThe read
Over his last 1 games, David Reinbacher has gone over 0.5 SOG 1 of 1 decided times (100%) — versus 100% across the full season. PHI has been a tough matchup for defensemen this season, allowing the 28th-most SOG of 32 teams (1.2 per game). His game-to-game SOG have been fairly steady (σ ≈ 0.0), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Fair-price calculator
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Edge vs
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 100%.