Vancouver Canucks

Filip Chytil Hits

Stats updated: Oct 29, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.

Filip Chytil has gone over 0.5 HITS in 5 of his last 10 decided games (50%), measured against our typical-game line.

Experience: 10 seasons

Line

PrizePicksHits · season avg 0.5 HITS · our line

Save this PrizePicks prop to your Playbook to track it

OutFilip Chytil isn't expected to play — the read below describes past games only.

Injury:: Not Specified Shoulder Not Specified
Est. return:: Nov 13, 2026

According to head coach Manny Malhorta, Chytil is progressing in his recovery, so it's possible the extra time off before Friday's clash with the Rangers could be what the 27-year-old center needs to get back into the lineup. In order to play, Chytil will first need to be activated off injured reserve, which should be a clear indication for fantasy managers that Chytil is back.

Verdict

vs 0.5 HITSHits

No readFireFactor 0/100· model 40% over

Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)58neutral

Projection vs line40neutral

Consistency0argues against it

Matchup25argues against it

Projection

0.4 HITS(×1.00 context)

L5 0.2 · L10 0.5 · med 0.5

Consistency

Boom-Bust

floor 0.0 · ceil 1.0

Matchup

defense vs role

Player is Out — no read on this line.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.

Book links are referral links — we may earn a commission. It never affects the numbers on this page.

Last 55 games

20%over

1 over · 4 under

Low confidence95% CI 4%–62%

Last 1010 games

50%over

5 over · 5 under

Low confidence95% CI 24%–76%

Last 2011 games

55%over

6 over · 5 under

Low confidence95% CI 28%–79%

Season11 games

55%over

6 over · 5 under

Low confidence95% CI 28%–79%

Alternate lines — Hits (HITS)

HITS over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.

Over hit rate and 95% Wilson confidence interval at each alternate HITS line, season window
Line	Over	O / U
0.5Current	55%	6/11
	0%	0/11
	0%	0/11
	0%	0/11

Last 11 games — HITS per game vs. line 0.5. Warm = over, cool = under.

Situational splits

Over 0.5 HITS by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.

Home / Away

Home50%2/4Low

Away57%4/7Low

Days since last game

0 days (B2B)0%0/1Low

1 day50%2/4Low

2 days0%0/2Low

3+ days100%3/3Low

With a teammate out

How this HITS line has shifted when an injured teammate sits — usage often rises. Descriptive splits from past games, not a forecast.

Tom Willander out · Lower Body+0.3 HITS when he sits

Without (4g)

0.8 HITS

75% over 0.5

With (7g)

0.4 HITS

43% over 0.5

Next matchup — vs PHI

Nov 10, 2026

22ndof 32 in HITS allowed to forwards

PHI allows 1.3 HITS per game to forwards (rank 1 = allows the most).

Sample: 121 player-games

Tough

The read

Over his last 10 games, Filip Chytil has gone over 0.5 HITS 5 of 10 decided times (50%) — versus 55% across the full season. PHI has been a tough matchup for forwards this season, allowing the 22nd-most HITS of 32 teams (1.3 per game). His game-to-game HITS have been highly variable (σ ≈ 0.5), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.

Fair-price calculator

Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.

Over oddsUnder odds

Edge vs

Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 55%.