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New Jersey DevilsJake Allen
#34 · G · 6' 2" · 197 lb · 37 games
Stats updated: Apr 11, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.
- Experience
- 13 seasons
Top reads — this player & matchup
pick one to load it belowRanked by FireFactor for the next matchup, straight from the game logs.
Line
Saves · season avg 25.2 SVSave this PrizePicks prop to your Playbook to track it
Verdict
vs 24.5 SVSavesWarm overFireFactor 36/100· model 60% over
Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)73supports it
Projection vs line60neutral
Consistency63supports it
Projection
26.2 SV(×1.03 context)
L5 26.6 · L10 24.8 · med 26.0
Consistency
Steady
floor 22.0 · ceil 29.0
Matchup
B
defense vs role
Recent history runs over on this line. Descriptive research from past games — not betting advice.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
Last 55 games
100%over
5 over · 0 under
Medium confidence95% CI 57%–100%Last 1010 games
80%over
8 over · 2 under
Low confidence95% CI 49%–94%Last 2020 games
70%over
14 over · 6 under
Medium confidence95% CI 48%–85%Season37 games
54%over
20 over · 17 under
Medium confidence95% CI 38%–69%Alternate lines — Saves (SV)
SV over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.
| Line | Over | O / U | Confidence interval |
|---|---|---|---|
| 81% | 30/37 | ||
| 73% | 27/37 | ||
| 54% | 20/37 | ||
| 24.5Current | 54% | 20/37 | |
| 43% | 16/37 | ||
| 38% | 14/37 | ||
| 30% | 11/37 |
Situational splits
Over 24.5 SV by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
Home / Away
Home58%11/19Medium
Away50%9/18Medium
Days since last game
0 days (B2B)100%1/1Low
1 day50%3/6Low
2 days25%1/4Low
3+ days60%15/25Medium
Last matchup — @ DET
Apr 11, 2026
12thof 32 in SV allowed to goalies
DET allows 25.0 SV per game to goalies (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 82 player-games
NeutralThe read
Over his last 10 games, Jake Allen has gone over 24.5 SV 8 of 10 decided times (80%) — versus 54% across the full season. DET has been a middling matchup for goalies this season, allowing the 12th-most SV of 32 teams (25.0 per game). His game-to-game SV have been fairly steady (σ ≈ 5.6), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Fair-price calculator
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Edge vs
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 54%.