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New Jersey DevilsJonas Siegenthaler
#71 · D · 6' 2" · 218 lb · 47 games
Stats updated: Apr 14, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.
- Experience
- 8 seasons
Top reads — this player & matchup
pick one to load it belowRanked by FireFactor for the next matchup, straight from the game logs.
Line
Shots on Goal · season avg 0.9 SOGSave this PrizePicks prop to your Playbook to track it
Verdict
vs 0.5 SOGShots on GoalNo readFireFactor 6/100· model 52% over
Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)55neutral
Projection vs line52neutral
Consistency0argues against it
Projection
0.9 SOG(×1.01 context)
L5 0.8 · L10 0.9 · med 1.0
Consistency
Boom-Bust
floor 0.0 · ceil 2.0
Matchup
C
defense vs role
Recent history runs over on this line. Descriptive research from past games — not betting advice.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
Last 55 games
40%over
2 over · 3 under
Low confidence95% CI 12%–77%Last 1010 games
60%over
6 over · 4 under
Low confidence95% CI 31%–83%Last 2020 games
55%over
11 over · 9 under
Medium confidence95% CI 34%–74%Season47 games
51%over
24 over · 23 under
Medium confidence95% CI 37%–65%Alternate lines — Shots on Goal (SOG)
SOG over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.
| Line | Over | O / U | Confidence interval |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5Current | 51% | 24/47 | |
| 23% | 11/47 | ||
| 9% | 4/47 | ||
| 4% | 2/47 |
Situational splits
Over 0.5 SOG by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
Home / Away
Home50%10/20Medium
Away52%14/27Medium
Days since last game
0 days (B2B)57%4/7Low
1 day67%8/12Low
2 days43%3/7Low
3+ days45%9/20Medium
Last matchup — @ BOS
Apr 14, 2026
16thof 32 in SOG allowed to defensemen
BOS allows 1.4 SOG per game to defensemen (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 245 player-games
NeutralThe read
Over his last 10 games, Jonas Siegenthaler has gone over 0.5 SOG 6 of 10 decided times (60%) — versus 51% across the full season. BOS has been a middling matchup for defensemen this season, allowing the 16th-most SOG of 32 teams (1.4 per game). His game-to-game SOG have been highly variable (σ ≈ 1.1), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Fair-price calculator
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Edge vs
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 51%.