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St. Louis BluesJordan Binnington
#50 · G · 6' 2" · 172 lb · 38 games
Stats updated: Apr 15, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.
- Experience
- 8 seasons
Top reads — this player & matchup
pick one to load it belowRanked by FireFactor for the next matchup, straight from the game logs.
Line
Saves · season avg 22.7 SVSave this PrizePicks prop to your Playbook to track it
Verdict
vs 23.5 SVSavesCool underFireFactor 24/100· model 56% under
Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)68supports it
Projection vs line56neutral
Consistency53neutral
Projection
22.0 SV(×1.01 context)
L5 19.8 · L10 21.9 · med 23.0
Consistency
Steady
floor 16.0 · ceil 27.6
Matchup
B
defense vs role
Recent history runs under on this line. Descriptive research from past games — not betting advice.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
Last 55 games
40%over
2 over · 3 under
Low confidence95% CI 12%–77%Last 1010 games
40%over
4 over · 6 under
Low confidence95% CI 17%–69%Last 2020 games
40%over
8 over · 12 under
Medium confidence95% CI 22%–61%Season38 games
45%over
17 over · 21 under
Medium confidence95% CI 30%–60%Alternate lines — Saves (SV)
SV over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.
| Line | Over | O / U | Confidence interval |
|---|---|---|---|
| 63% | 24/38 | ||
| 61% | 23/38 | ||
| 55% | 21/38 | ||
| 23.5Current | 45% | 17/38 | |
| 39% | 15/38 | ||
| 37% | 14/38 | ||
| 24% | 9/38 |
Situational splits
Over 23.5 SV by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
Home / Away
Home50%9/18Medium
Away40%8/20Medium
Days since last game
0 days (B2B)50%1/2Low
1 day33%1/3Low
2 days50%3/6Low
3+ days46%12/26Medium
Last matchup — vs PIT
Apr 15, 2026
13thof 32 in SV allowed to goalies
PIT allows 24.8 SV per game to goalies (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 86 player-games
NeutralThe read
Over his last 10 games, Jordan Binnington has gone over 23.5 SV 4 of 10 decided times (40%) — versus 45% across the full season. PIT has been a middling matchup for goalies this season, allowing the 13th-most SV of 32 teams (24.8 per game). His game-to-game SV have been moderately variable (σ ≈ 6.4), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Fair-price calculator
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Edge vs
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 45%.