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Florida PanthersLuke Kunin
#71 · C · 6' 0" · 197 lb · 15 games
Stats updated: Apr 15, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.
- College
- Wisconsin
- Experience
- 9 seasons
Line
Shots on Goal · season avg 1.1 SOGSave this PrizePicks prop to your Playbook to track it
Verdict
vs 0.5 SOGShots on GoalWarm overFireFactor 20/100· model 72% over
Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)83supports it
Projection vs line72supports it
Consistency0argues against it
Projection
1.6 SOG(×1.09 context)
L5 1.4 · L10 1.3 · med 1.0
Consistency
Boom-Bust
floor 0.0 · ceil 1.2
Matchup
C
defense vs role
Recent history runs over on this line. Descriptive research from past games — not betting advice.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
Last 55 games
60%over
3 over · 2 under
Low confidence95% CI 23%–88%Last 1010 games
70%over
7 over · 3 under
Low confidence95% CI 40%–89%Last 2015 games
60%over
9 over · 6 under
Medium confidence95% CI 36%–80%Season15 games
60%over
9 over · 6 under
Medium confidence95% CI 36%–80%Alternate lines — Shots on Goal (SOG)
SOG over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.
| Line | Over | O / U | Confidence interval |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5Current | 60% | 9/15 | |
| 20% | 3/15 | ||
| 13% | 2/15 | ||
| 7% | 1/15 |
Situational splits
Over 0.5 SOG by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
Home / Away
Home80%4/5Low
Away50%5/10Low
Days since last game
0 days (B2B)100%1/1Low
1 day20%1/5Low
2 days0%0/1Low
3+ days86%6/7Low
Last matchup — vs DET
Apr 15, 2026
16thof 32 in SOG allowed to forwards
DET allows 1.9 SOG per game to forwards (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 469 player-games
NeutralThe read
Over his last 10 games, Luke Kunin has gone over 0.5 SOG 7 of 10 decided times (70%) — versus 60% across the full season. DET has been a middling matchup for forwards this season, allowing the 16th-most SOG of 32 teams (1.9 per game). His game-to-game SOG have been highly variable (σ ≈ 1.3), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Fair-price calculator
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Edge vs
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 60%.