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St. Louis BluesPius Suter
#22 · C · 5' 11" · 179 lb · 44 games
Stats updated: Apr 16, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.
- Experience
- 6 seasons
Line
Shots on Goal · season avg 1.6 SOGSave this PrizePicks prop to your Playbook to track it
Verdict
vs 1.5 SOGShots on GoalNo readFireFactor 18/100· model 64% under
Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)83supports it
Projection vs line64supports it
Consistency0argues against it
Projection
1.3 SOG(×0.93 context)
L5 1.6 · L10 1.2 · med 1.0
Consistency
Boom-Bust
floor 0.6 · ceil 2.0
Matchup
C
defense vs role
Recent history runs under on this line. Descriptive research from past games — not betting advice.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
Last 55 games
40%over
2 over · 3 under
Low confidence95% CI 12%–77%Last 1010 games
20%over
2 over · 8 under
Low confidence95% CI 6%–51%Last 2020 games
30%over
6 over · 14 under
Medium confidence95% CI 15%–52%Season44 games
41%over
18 over · 26 under
Medium confidence95% CI 28%–56%Alternate lines — Shots on Goal (SOG)
SOG over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.
| Line | Over | O / U | Confidence interval |
|---|---|---|---|
| 80% | 35/44 | ||
| 1.5Current | 41% | 18/44 | |
| 18% | 8/44 | ||
| 9% | 4/44 | ||
| 7% | 3/44 |
Situational splits
Over 1.5 SOG by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
Home / Away
Home53%10/19Medium
Away32%8/25Medium
Days since last game
0 days (B2B)20%2/10Low
1 day47%7/15Low
2 days75%6/8Low
3+ days30%3/10Low
Last matchup — vs PIT
Apr 15, 2026
19thof 32 in SOG allowed to forwards
PIT allows 1.9 SOG per game to forwards (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 522 player-games
NeutralThe read
Over his last 10 games, Pius Suter has gone over 1.5 SOG 2 of 10 decided times (20%) — versus 41% across the full season. PIT has been a middling matchup for forwards this season, allowing the 19th-most SOG of 32 teams (1.9 per game). His game-to-game SOG have been highly variable (σ ≈ 1.4), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Fair-price calculator
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Edge vs
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 41%.