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Seattle KrakenRyan Lindgren
#55 · D · 6' 0" · 194 lb · 15 games
Too few games this season to read on their own, so 14 of these 15 are carried over from last season. Expect this read to move as the season fills in.
Stats updated: Oct 6, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.
- College
- Minnesota
- Experience
- 9 seasons
Line
Shots on Goal · season avg 0.5 SOG · our lineSave this PrizePicks prop to your Playbook to track it
OutOutRyan Lindgren isn't expected to play — the read below describes past games only.
- Injury:
- Upper Body
- Est. return:
- Nov 19, 2026
Lindgren suffered the upper-body injury in the first period of Tuesday's clash against the Golden Knights before he ultimately was removed from the game ahead of the second stanza. Prior to going down, the 28-year-old blueliner compiled a plus-three rating, seven PIM, three shots on goal and four blocked shots across four outings to begin the 2026-27 campaign. While he is sidelined over the next four to six weeks, Josh Mahura is expected to see an increased role.
Verdict
vs 0.5 SOGShots on GoalNo readFireFactor 0/100· model 55% under
Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)59neutral
Projection vs line55neutral
Consistency0argues against it
Matchup0argues against it
Projection
0.6 SOG(×0.99 context)
L5 0.4 · L10 0.6 · med 0.5
Consistency
Boom-Bust
floor 0.0 · ceil 1.0
Matchup
A
defense vs role
Player is Out — no read on this line.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
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Last 55 games
40%over
2 over · 3 under
Low confidence95% CI 12%–77%Last 1010 games
50%over
5 over · 5 under
Low confidence95% CI 24%–76%Last 2015 games
47%over
7 over · 8 under
Low confidence95% CI 25%–70%Season15 games
47%over
7 over · 8 under
Low confidence95% CI 25%–70%Alternate lines — Shots on Goal (SOG)
SOG over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.
| Line | Over | O / U | Confidence interval |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5Current | 47% | 7/15 | |
| 7% | 1/15 | ||
| 0% | 0/15 | ||
| 0% | 0/15 |
Situational splits
Over 0.5 SOG by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
Home / Away
Home71%5/7Low
Away25%2/8Low
Days since last game
0 days (B2B)0%0/3Low
1 day80%4/5Low
2 days33%1/3Low
3+ days33%1/3Low
Next matchup — vs NYR
Nov 7, 2026
7thof 32 in SOG allowed to defensemen
NYR allows 1.5 SOG per game to defensemen (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 59 player-games
FavorableThe read
Over his last 10 games, Ryan Lindgren has gone over 0.5 SOG 5 of 10 decided times (50%) — versus 47% across the full season. NYR has been a favorable matchup for defensemen this season, allowing the 7th-most SOG of 32 teams (1.5 per game). His game-to-game SOG have been highly variable (σ ≈ 0.6), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Fair-price calculator
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Edge vs
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 47%.