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Florida PanthersSandis Vilmanis
#95 · LW · 6' 1" · 192 lb · 10 games
Stats updated: Nov 7, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.
- Experience
- 3 seasons
Line
Shots on Goal · season avg 1.9 SOG · our lineSave this PrizePicks prop to your Playbook to track it
OutOutSandis Vilmanis isn't expected to play — the read below describes past games only.
- Injury:
- Undisclosed
- Est. return:
- Nov 12, 2026
Vilmanis will be evaluated ahead of Sunday's game against Boston, but the Panthers may need to wait until they are back in Florida to know about his status. That could rule him out for the final two games of the road trip, which ends in Columbus on Tuesday. If Anton Lundell (undisclosed) and Vilmanis are out against the Bruins on Sunday, Radko Gudas could dress as a seventh defenseman, or the Panthers may bring up a forward from the minors.
Verdict
vs 1.5 SOGShots on GoalNo readFireFactor 0/100· model 57% over
Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)82supports it
Projection vs line57neutral
Consistency0argues against it
Projection
1.9 SOG(×0.99 context)
L5 2.2 · L10 1.9 · med 2.0
Consistency
Boom-Bust
floor 1.0 · ceil 2.4
Matchup
A
defense vs role
Player is Out — no read on this line.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
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Last 55 games
80%over
4 over · 1 under
Low confidence95% CI 38%–96%Last 1010 games
60%over
6 over · 4 under
Low confidence95% CI 31%–83%Last 2010 games
60%over
6 over · 4 under
Low confidence95% CI 31%–83%Season10 games
60%over
6 over · 4 under
Low confidence95% CI 31%–83%Alternate lines — Shots on Goal (SOG)
SOG over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.
| Line | Over | O / U | Confidence interval |
|---|---|---|---|
| 90% | 9/10 | ||
| 1.5Current | 60% | 6/10 | |
| 20% | 2/10 | ||
| 20% | 2/10 | ||
| 0% | 0/10 |
Situational splits
Over 1.5 SOG by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
Home / Away
Home50%3/6Low
Away75%3/4Low
Days since last game
1 day75%3/4Low
2 days33%1/3Low
3+ days50%1/2Low
Last matchup — vs CHI
Nov 4, 2026
7thof 32 in SOG allowed to forwards
CHI allows 2.0 SOG per game to forwards (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 92 player-games
FavorableThe read
Over his last 10 games, Sandis Vilmanis has gone over 1.5 SOG 6 of 10 decided times (60%) — versus 60% across the full season. CHI has been a favorable matchup for forwards this season, allowing the 7th-most SOG of 32 teams (2.0 per game). His game-to-game SOG have been highly variable (σ ≈ 1.2), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Fair-price calculator
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Edge vs
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 60%.