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Colorado AvalancheScott Wedgewood
#41 · G · 6' 2" · 201 lb · 51 games
Stats updated: May 25, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.
- Experience
- 7 seasons
Line
Saves · season avg 23.7 SVSave this PrizePicks prop to your Playbook to track it
Verdict
vs 23.5 SVSavesNo readFireFactor 17/100· model 41% over
Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)67supports it
Projection vs line41neutral
Consistency58neutral
Projection
20.0 SV(×0.92 context)
L5 20.0 · L10 22.6 · med 24.0
Consistency
Steady
floor 18.0 · ceil 29.0
Matchup
C
defense vs role
Recent history runs over on this line. Descriptive research from past games — not betting advice.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
Last 55 games
40%over
2 over · 3 under
Low confidence95% CI 12%–77%Last 1010 games
70%over
7 over · 3 under
Low confidence95% CI 40%–89%Last 2020 games
60%over
12 over · 8 under
Medium confidence95% CI 39%–78%Season51 games
55%over
28 over · 23 under
Medium confidence95% CI 41%–68%Alternate lines — Saves (SV)
SV over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.
| Line | Over | O / U | Confidence interval |
|---|---|---|---|
| 75% | 38/51 | ||
| 71% | 36/51 | ||
| 59% | 30/51 | ||
| 23.5Current | 55% | 28/51 | |
| 41% | 21/51 | ||
| 39% | 20/51 | ||
| 37% | 19/51 |
Situational splits
Over 23.5 SV by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
Home / Away
Home56%14/25Medium
Away54%14/26Medium
Days since last game
0 days (B2B)100%2/2Low
1 day60%6/10Low
2 days36%4/11Low
3+ days58%15/26Medium
Last matchup — @ VGK
May 25, 2026
14thof 32 in SV allowed to goalies
VGK allows 24.7 SV per game to goalies (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 105 player-games
NeutralThe read
Over his last 10 games, Scott Wedgewood has gone over 23.5 SV 7 of 10 decided times (70%) — versus 55% across the full season. VGK has been a middling matchup for goalies this season, allowing the 14th-most SV of 32 teams (24.7 per game). His game-to-game SV have been moderately variable (σ ≈ 6.0), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Fair-price calculator
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Edge vs
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 55%.