
Stats updated: Oct 31, 2025 — nightly box scores, not live.
Seamus Casey has gone over 0.5 AST in 0 of his last 1 decided games (0%), measured against our typical-game line.
Casey figures to miss at least 19 more games if he is on the short end of his recovery timeline. While it's certainly a blow that will stretch the Devils' defensive depth, Casey would likely have served as a healthy scratch more often than not. Once given the all-clear, the 22-year-old Florida native could be headed to the minors in order to get his legs back under him.
Player is Out — no read on this line.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
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AST over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.
| Line | Over | O / U | Confidence interval |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5Current | 0% | 0/1 | |
| 0% | 0/1 | ||
| 0% | 0/1 | ||
| 0% | 0/1 |
Over 0.5 AST by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
TOR allows 0.4 AST per game to defensemen (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 57 player-games
FavorableOver his last 1 games, Seamus Casey has gone over 0.5 AST 0 of 1 decided times (0%) — versus 0% across the full season. TOR has been a favorable matchup for defensemen this season, allowing the 5th-most AST of 32 teams (0.4 per game). His game-to-game AST have been variable (σ ≈ 0.0), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 0%.
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Descriptive research from public game logs — hit rates describe past games and are not predictions, picks, or betting advice.