Loading…
Ottawa SenatorsWilliam Eklund
#27 · LW · 5' 10" · 185 lb · 13 games
Too few games this season to read on their own, so 10 of these 13 are carried over from last season. Expect this read to move as the season fills in.
Stats updated: Oct 8, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.
- Experience
- 5 seasons
Line
Shots on Goal · season avg 1.8 SOG · our lineSave this PrizePicks prop to your Playbook to track it
OutOutWilliam Eklund isn't expected to play — the read below describes past games only.
- Injury:
- Ankle
- Est. return:
- Jan 5, 2027
Eklund's timeline would seem to indicate that he will be out of action until the calendar flips to 2027, though it's possible he makes a late-December return if on the early side of his timeline. While the 24-year-old winger is already on injured reserve, he could be a candidate for long-term injured reserve if the Senators need the cap space to make a move.
Verdict
vs 1.5 SOGShots on GoalNo readFireFactor 0/100· model 56% over
Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)64supports it
Projection vs line56neutral
Consistency0argues against it
Matchup25argues against it
Projection
2.0 SOG(×0.94 context)
L5 2.2 · L10 1.9 · med 2.0
Consistency
Boom-Bust
floor 1.0 · ceil 3.0
Matchup
D
defense vs role
Player is Out — no read on this line.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
Book links are referral links — we may earn a commission. It never affects the numbers on this page.
Last 55 games
60%over
3 over · 2 under
Low confidence95% CI 23%–88%Last 1010 games
60%over
6 over · 4 under
Low confidence95% CI 31%–83%Last 2013 games
54%over
7 over · 6 under
Low confidence95% CI 29%–77%Season13 games
54%over
7 over · 6 under
Low confidence95% CI 29%–77%Alternate lines — Shots on Goal (SOG)
SOG over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.
| Line | Over | O / U | Confidence interval |
|---|---|---|---|
| 85% | 11/13 | ||
| 1.5Current | 54% | 7/13 | |
| 31% | 4/13 | ||
| 8% | 1/13 | ||
| 0% | 0/13 |
Situational splits
Over 1.5 SOG by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
Home / Away
Home50%2/4Low
Away56%5/9Low
Days since last game
0 days (B2B)67%2/3Low
1 day60%3/5Low
2 days0%0/1Low
3+ days67%2/3Low
Next matchup — vs UTAH
Nov 8, 2026
24thof 32 in SOG allowed to forwards
UTAH allows 1.7 SOG per game to forwards (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 96 player-games
ToughThe read
Over his last 10 games, William Eklund has gone over 1.5 SOG 6 of 10 decided times (60%) — versus 54% across the full season. UTAH has been a tough matchup for forwards this season, allowing the 24th-most SOG of 32 teams (1.7 per game). His game-to-game SOG have been highly variable (σ ≈ 1.2), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Fair-price calculator
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Edge vs
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 54%.