Connecticut Sun

Aaliyah Edwards 3-Pointers Made

Stats updated: Jul 19, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.

Aaliyah Edwards has gone over 0.5 3PM in 2 of his last 10 decided games (20%), measured against our typical-game line.

College: UConn
Experience: 4 seasons

Line

PrizePicks3-Pointers Made · season avg 0.2 3PM · our line

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OutAaliyah Edwards isn't expected to play — the read below describes past games only.

Injury:: Right Knee
Est. return:: Aug 7, 2026

Edwards will miss a fourth consecutive contest due to a right knee injury, and her next opportunity to suit up will come Friday against the Mercury. In the meantime, Diamond Miller, Kennedy Burke and Nell Angloma are candidates to see increased playing time.

Verdict

vs 0.5 3PM3-Pointers Made

No readFireFactor 0/100· model 82% under

Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)100supports it

Projection vs line82supports it

Consistency0argues against it

Projection

0.2 3PM(×0.93 context)

L5 0.2 · L10 0.2 · med 0.0

Consistency

Boom-Bust

floor 0.0 · ceil 0.2

Matchup

defense vs role

Player is Out — no read on this line.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.

Last 55 games

20%over

1 over · 4 under

Low confidence95% CI 4%–62%

Last 1010 games

20%over

2 over · 8 under

Low confidence95% CI 6%–51%

Last 2010 games

20%over

2 over · 8 under

Low confidence95% CI 6%–51%

Season10 games

20%over

2 over · 8 under

Low confidence95% CI 6%–51%

Alternate lines — 3-Pointers Made (3PM)

3PM over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.

Over hit rate and 95% Wilson confidence interval at each alternate 3PM line, season window
Line	Over	O / U
0.5Current	20%	2/10
	0%	0/10
	0%	0/10
	0%	0/10

Last 10 games — 3PM per game vs. line 0.5. Warm = over, cool = under.

Situational splits

Over 0.5 3PM by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.

Home / Away

Home20%1/5Low

Away20%1/5Low

Days since last game

1 day50%1/2Low

2 days0%0/1Low

3+ days17%1/6Low

With a teammate out

How this 3PM line has shifted when an injured teammate sits — usage often rises. Descriptive splits from past games, not a forecast.

Brittney Griner out · Left Knee+0.3 3PM when he sits

Without (6g)

0.3 3PM

33% over 0.5

With (4g)

0.0 3PM

0% over 0.5

Hailey Van Lith out · Coach's Decision

Without (6g)

0.2 3PM

17% over 0.5

With (4g)

0.3 3PM

25% over 0.5

Last matchup — @ PHX

Jul 18, 2026

5thof 15 in 3PM allowed to forwards

PHX allows 1.0 3PM per game to forwards (rank 1 = allows the most).

Sample: 58 player-games

Favorable

The read

Over his last 10 games, Aaliyah Edwards has gone over 0.5 3PM 2 of 10 decided times (20%) — versus 20% across the full season. PHX has been a favorable matchup for forwards this season, allowing the 5th-most 3PM of 15 teams (1.0 per game). His game-to-game 3PM have been highly variable (σ ≈ 0.4), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.

Fair-price calculator

Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.

Over oddsUnder odds

Edge vs

Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 20%.