Los Angeles Sparks

Alissa Pili Rebounds

Stats updated: Jul 13, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.

Alissa Pili has gone over 4.5 REB in 1 of his last 1 decided games (100%), measured against our typical-game line.

College: Utah
Experience: 4 seasons

Line

PrizePicksRebounds · season avg 5.0 REB · our line

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OutAlissa Pili isn't expected to play — the read below describes past games only.

Injury:: Coach's Decision
Est. return:: Aug 5, 2026

Pili will be held out of Sunday's contest to preserve her eligibility while signed to a developmental contract. Her next opportunity to suit up will come Wednesday in Chicago.

Verdict

vs 4.5 REBRebounds

No readFireFactor 0/100· model 59% over

Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)100supports it

Projection vs line59neutral

Consistency100supports it

Projection

5.0 REB

L5 5.0 · L10 5.0 · med 5.0

Consistency

Steady

floor 5.0 · ceil 5.0

Matchup

defense vs role

Player is Out — no read on this line.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.

Last 51 game

100%over

1 over · 0 under

Low confidence95% CI 21%–100%

Last 101 game

100%over

1 over · 0 under

Low confidence95% CI 21%–100%

Last 201 game

100%over

1 over · 0 under

Low confidence95% CI 21%–100%

Season1 game

100%over

1 over · 0 under

Low confidence95% CI 21%–100%

Alternate lines — Rebounds (REB)

REB over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.

Over hit rate and 95% Wilson confidence interval at each alternate REB line, season window
Line	Over	O / U
	100%	1/1
	100%	1/1
	100%	1/1
4.5Current	100%	1/1
	0%	0/1
	0%	0/1
	0%	0/1

Last 1 games — REB per game vs. line 4.5. Warm = over, cool = under.

Situational splits

Over 4.5 REB by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.

Home / Away

Home100%1/1Low

Last matchup — vs IND

Jul 9, 2026

14thof 15 in REB allowed to forwards

IND allows 4.3 REB per game to forwards (rank 1 = allows the most).

Sample: 55 player-games

Tough

The read

Over his last 1 games, Alissa Pili has gone over 4.5 REB 1 of 1 decided times (100%) — versus 100% across the full season. IND has been a tough matchup for forwards this season, allowing the 14th-most REB of 15 teams (4.3 per game). His game-to-game REB have been fairly steady (σ ≈ 0.0), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.

Fair-price calculator

Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.

Over oddsUnder odds

Edge vs

Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 100%.