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Chicago SkyAzura Stevens
#30 · F · 6' 6" · 180 lb · 9 games
Stats updated: Jul 22, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.
- College
- UConn
- Experience
- 10 seasons
Line
Points · season avg 14.7 PTS · our lineSave this PrizePicks prop to your Playbook to track it
OutOutAzura Stevens isn't expected to play — the read below describes past games only.
- Injury:
- Personal
- Est. return:
- Aug 5, 2026
This will be Stevens' third consecutive game on the inactive list, which could result in another start for Aicha Coulibaly. Stevens' next chance to play will come Wednesday against the Aces.
Verdict
vs 12.5 PTSPointsNo readFireFactor 0/100· model 43% under
Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)64supports it
Projection vs line43neutral
Consistency37argues against it
Projection
14.7 PTS(×1.02 context)
L5 15.6 · L10 14.7 · med 12.0
Consistency
Variable
floor 9.2 · ceil 20.0
Matchup
C
defense vs role
Player is Out — no read on this line.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
Last 55 games
60%over
3 over · 2 under
Low confidence95% CI 23%–88%Last 109 games
44%over
4 over · 5 under
Low confidence95% CI 19%–73%Last 209 games
44%over
4 over · 5 under
Low confidence95% CI 19%–73%Season9 games
44%over
4 over · 5 under
Low confidence95% CI 19%–73%Alternate lines — Points (PTS)
PTS over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.
| Line | Over | O / U | Confidence interval |
|---|---|---|---|
| 78% | 7/9 | ||
| 67% | 6/9 | ||
| 67% | 6/9 | ||
| 12.5Current | 44% | 4/9 | |
| 44% | 4/9 | ||
| 44% | 4/9 | ||
| 44% | 4/9 |
Situational splits
Over 12.5 PTS by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
Home / Away
Home50%2/4Low
Away40%2/5Low
Days since last game
0 days (B2B)100%1/1Low
1 day67%2/3Low
2 days50%1/2Low
3+ days0%0/2Low
With a teammate out
How this PTS line has shifted when an injured teammate sits — usage often rises. Descriptive splits from past games, not a forecast.
Skylar Diggins out · Right Knee
Without (6g)
14.7 PTS
50% over 12.5
With (3g)
14.7 PTS
33% over 12.5
Last matchup — @ NY
Jul 22, 2026
9thof 15 in PTS allowed to forwards
NY allows 10.0 PTS per game to forwards (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 64 player-games
NeutralThe read
Over his last 9 games, Azura Stevens has gone over 12.5 PTS 4 of 9 decided times (44%) — versus 44% across the full season. NY has been a middling matchup for forwards this season, allowing the 9th-most PTS of 15 teams (10.0 per game). His game-to-game PTS have been moderately variable (σ ≈ 5.6), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Fair-price calculator
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Edge vs
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 44%.