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Las Vegas AcesBrianna Turner Turnovers
Stats updated: Aug 3, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.
Brianna Turner has gone over 0.5 TOV in 6 of his last 8 decided games (75%), measured against our typical-game line.
- College
- Notre Dame
- Experience
- 9 seasons
Top reads — this player & matchup
pick one to load it belowRanked by FireFactor for the next matchup, straight from the game logs.
Line
Turnovers · season avg 1.0 TOV · our lineSave this PrizePicks prop to your Playbook to track it
Verdict
vs 0.5 TOVTurnoversHot overFireFactor 51/100· model 71% over
Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)100supports it
Projection vs line71supports it
Consistency0argues against it
Projection
1.1 TOV(×1.08 context)
L5 1.0 · L10 1.0 · med 1.0
Consistency
Boom-Bust
floor 0.4 · ceil 1.6
Matchup
A
defense vs role
Recent history runs over on this line. Descriptive research from past games — not betting advice.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
Last 55 games
80%over
4 over · 1 under
Low confidence95% CI 38%–96%Last 108 games
75%over
6 over · 2 under
Low confidence95% CI 41%–93%Last 208 games
75%over
6 over · 2 under
Low confidence95% CI 41%–93%Season8 games
75%over
6 over · 2 under
Low confidence95% CI 41%–93%Alternate lines — Turnovers (TOV)
TOV over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.
| Line | Over | O / U | Confidence interval |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5Current | 75% | 6/8 | |
| 25% | 2/8 | ||
| 0% | 0/8 | ||
| 0% | 0/8 |
Situational splits
Over 0.5 TOV by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
Home / Away
Home75%3/4Low
Away75%3/4Low
Days since last game
1 day100%1/1Low
3+ days83%5/6Low
With a teammate out
How this TOV line has shifted when an injured teammate sits — usage often rises. Descriptive splits from past games, not a forecast.
Cheyenne Parker-Tyus out · Concussion
Without (3g)
1.0 TOV
100% over 0.5
With (5g)
1.0 TOV
60% over 0.5
Last matchup — @ ATL
Aug 3, 2026
3rdof 15 in TOV allowed to forwards
ATL allows 1.5 TOV per game to forwards (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 50 player-games
FavorableThe read
Over his last 8 games, Brianna Turner has gone over 0.5 TOV 6 of 8 decided times (75%) — versus 75% across the full season. ATL has been a favorable matchup for forwards this season, allowing the 3rd-most TOV of 15 teams (1.5 per game). His game-to-game TOV have been highly variable (σ ≈ 0.7), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Fair-price calculator
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Edge vs
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 75%.
More Brianna Turner research
Brianna Turner — full profile→
Every stat, splits, chart, and matchup.
Turner Rebounds→
Rebounds hit rates and trends.
Turner Assists→
Assists hit rates and trends.
Turner 3-Pointers Made→
3-Pointers Made hit rates and trends.
Turner Steals→
Steals hit rates and trends.
Defense vs Position→
Which opponents inflate or suppress this prop.
WNBA Heat Check→
The strongest reads across the league.
Descriptive research from public game logs — hit rates describe past games and are not predictions, picks, or betting advice.