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Minnesota LynxEmma Cechova
#22 · F · 6' 4" · 2 games
Stats updated: May 15, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.
- Experience
- Rookie
Line
Points · season avg 11.5 PTS · our lineSave this PrizePicks prop to your Playbook to track it
OutOutEmma Cechova isn't expected to play — the read below describes past games only.
- Injury:
- Right Knee Surgery
- Est. return:
- May 1, 2027
Cechova suffered a non-contact injury during Thursday's 90-86 win over Dallas and required assistance off the floor. After undergoing an MRI, she was diagnosed with a torn ACL, ending her season. The 21-year-old rookie appeared in three games, and she will finish the 2026 campaign by averaging 8.3 points, 3.7 rebounds, 0.3 steals and 0.7 blocks across 17.3 minutes. With Cechova sidelined, Anastasiia Kosu could be first in line to see more action.
Verdict
vs 11.5 PTSPointsNo readFireFactor 0/100· model 48% over
Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)50neutral
Projection vs line48neutral
Consistency93supports it
Projection
11.5 PTS
L5 11.5 · L10 11.5 · med 11.5
Consistency
Steady
floor 11.2 · ceil 11.8
Matchup
D
defense vs role
Player is Out — no read on this line.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
Last 52 games
50%over
1 over · 1 under
Low confidence95% CI 9%–91%Last 102 games
50%over
1 over · 1 under
Low confidence95% CI 9%–91%Last 202 games
50%over
1 over · 1 under
Low confidence95% CI 9%–91%Season2 games
50%over
1 over · 1 under
Low confidence95% CI 9%–91%Alternate lines — Points (PTS)
PTS over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.
| Line | Over | O / U | Confidence interval |
|---|---|---|---|
| 100% | 2/2 | ||
| 100% | 2/2 | ||
| 100% | 2/2 | ||
| 11.5Current | 50% | 1/2 | |
| 0% | 0/2 | ||
| 0% | 0/2 | ||
| 0% | 0/2 |
Situational splits
Over 11.5 PTS by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
Home / Away
Home100%1/1Low
Away0%0/1Low
Days since last game
2 days0%0/1Low
Last matchup — @ PHX
May 13, 2026
11thof 15 in PTS allowed to forwards
PHX allows 9.7 PTS per game to forwards (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 58 player-games
ToughThe read
Over his last 2 games, Emma Cechova has gone over 11.5 PTS 1 of 2 decided times (50%) — versus 50% across the full season. PHX has been a tough matchup for forwards this season, allowing the 11th-most PTS of 15 teams (9.7 per game). His game-to-game PTS have been fairly steady (σ ≈ 0.5), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Fair-price calculator
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Edge vs
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 50%.