Washington Mystics

Georgia Amoore Assists

Stats updated: Jul 31, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.

Georgia Amoore has gone over 3.5 AST in 8 of his last 10 decided games (80%), measured against our typical-game line.

College: Kentucky
Experience: Rookie

Line

PrizePicksAssists · season avg 4.4 AST · PrizePicks line

Save this PrizePicks prop to your Playbook to track it

PrizePicks payout options — Assists (AST)

Pick any line — standard, demon (harder, pays more), goblin (easier, pays less), or an alternate with its payout multiplier — and the whole read updates to it. Only the standard line takes an under; every other variant pays the over only. Each rung’s FireFactor is scored against its OWN payout breakeven — 0 means fairly priced for that payout, not a coin flip — so rungs compare directly. The bar uses the best information available: an exact posted multiplier, else the market’s de-vigged sportsbook odds at that exact line, else a published-payout approximation.

How PrizePicks payouts work with demons & goblins

Typical entry payouts (verify in the app — they change and can vary by state): Power Play 2-pick 3×, 3-pick 5×, 4-pick 10×. Flex Play 3-pick 2.25× (1.25× one miss), 4-pick 5× (1.5× one miss), 5-pick 10× (2× / 0.4× on misses), 6-pick 25× (2× / 0.4× on misses).

Demons: Adding a demon raises the whole entry’s payout multiple (a harder line buys a bigger multiplier). Demons can only be taken as More.

Goblins: Adding a goblin lowers the whole entry’s payout multiple (an easier line costs payout). Goblins can only be taken as More and aren’t combinable with everything — the app shows the exact adjusted payout.

Verdict

vs 3.5 ASTAssists

Hot overFireFactor 51/100· model 65% over

Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)94supports it

Projection vs line65supports it

Consistency17argues against it

Projection

4.5 AST(×1.01 context)

L5 4.6 · L10 5.2 · med 5.0

Consistency

Variable

floor 3.0 · ceil 7.0

Matchup

defense vs role

Recent history runs over on this line. Descriptive research from past games — not betting advice.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.

Last 55 games

80%over

4 over · 1 under

Low confidence95% CI 38%–96%

Last 1010 games

80%over

8 over · 2 under

Low confidence95% CI 49%–94%

Last 2016 games

63%over

10 over · 6 under

Medium confidence95% CI 39%–82%

Season16 games

63%over

10 over · 6 under

Medium confidence95% CI 39%–82%

Last 16 games — AST per game vs. line 3.5. Warm = over, cool = under.

Situational splits

Over 3.5 AST by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.

Home / Away

Home50%3/6Low

Away70%7/10Low

Days since last game

0 days (B2B)0%0/2Low

1 day100%4/4Low

2 days0%0/1Low

3+ days63%5/8Low

Last matchup — vs CON

Jul 28, 2026

13thof 15 in AST allowed to guards

CON allows 3.0 AST per game to guards (rank 1 = allows the most).

Sample: 85 player-games

Tough

The read

Over his last 10 games, Georgia Amoore has gone over 3.5 AST 8 of 10 decided times (80%) — versus 63% across the full season. CON has been a tough matchup for guards this season, allowing the 13th-most AST of 15 teams (3.0 per game). His game-to-game AST have been highly variable (σ ≈ 2.2), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.

Market edgeauto

6 books @ 3.5 AST

No-vig fair (over): 48.0%
No-vig fair (under): 52.0%

Best Over

DraftKings-105

-6.3% EV

Best Under

FanDuel-125

-6.4% EV

Model vs market (over)+16.5%

Our model puts the over at 64.5% vs the market's no-vig 48.0%. A comparison of two numbers — not a guarantee.

Line shopping — Assists (AST)

Each book’s line and your season over rate at that number, vs the market consensus (3.5 AST). A softer number you’d clear more often is a discount — the best one lifts the FireFactor read. Click a book to switch the whole read to it.

BookLineover rateEdge

over rate = season hit rate at that line. Edge = points of hit rate vs the consensus line. Descriptive research from past games — not betting advice.

Fair-price calculator

Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.

Over oddsUnder odds

Edge vs

Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 63%.