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New York LibertyHan Xu
#21 · C · 6' 11" · 203 lb · 28 games
Stats updated: Oct 9, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.
- Experience
- 5 seasons
Top reads — this player & matchup
pick one to load it belowRanked by FireFactor for the next matchup, straight from the game logs.
Line
Points · season avg 8.4 PTSSave this PrizePicks prop to your Playbook to track it
Verdict
vs 7.5 PTSPointsNo readFireFactor 7/100· model 61% over
Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)59neutral
Projection vs line61supports it
Consistency16argues against it
Projection
9.3 PTS(×1.07 context)
L5 10.8 · L10 9.2 · med 8.0
Consistency
Variable
floor 5.0 · ceil 12.0
Matchup
D
defense vs role
Recent history runs over on this line. Descriptive research from past games — not betting advice.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
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Last 55 games
60%over
3 over · 2 under
Low confidence95% CI 23%–88%Last 1010 games
50%over
5 over · 5 under
Low confidence95% CI 24%–76%Last 2020 games
50%over
10 over · 10 under
Medium confidence95% CI 30%–70%Season28 games
54%over
15 over · 13 under
Medium confidence95% CI 36%–70%Alternate lines — Points (PTS)
PTS over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.
| Line | Over | O / U | Confidence interval |
|---|---|---|---|
| 82% | 23/28 | ||
| 75% | 21/28 | ||
| 61% | 17/28 | ||
| 7.5Current | 54% | 15/28 | |
| 36% | 10/28 | ||
| 29% | 8/28 | ||
| 29% | 8/28 |
Situational splits
Over 7.5 PTS by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
Home / Away
Home62%8/13Low
Away47%7/15Low
Days since last game
0 days (B2B)0%0/1Low
1 day40%4/10Low
2 days75%3/4Low
3+ days58%7/12Low
With a teammate out
How this PTS line has shifted when an injured teammate sits — usage often rises. Descriptive splits from past games, not a forecast.
Satou Sabally out · Concussion-0.9 PTS when he sits
Without (21g)
8.1 PTS
48% over 7.5
With (7g)
9.0 PTS
71% over 7.5
Last matchup — @ MIN
Sep 27, 2026
12thof 15 in PTS allowed to centers
MIN allows 10.7 PTS per game to centers (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 32 player-games
ToughThe read
Over his last 10 games, Han Xu has gone over 7.5 PTS 5 of 10 decided times (50%) — versus 54% across the full season. MIN has been a tough matchup for centers this season, allowing the 12th-most PTS of 15 teams (10.7 per game). His game-to-game PTS have been highly variable (σ ≈ 4.2), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Fair-price calculator
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Edge vs
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 54%.