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Toronto TempoIsabelle Harrison
#21 · F · 6' 5" · 183 lb · 8 games
Stats updated: Aug 2, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.
- College
- Tennessee
- Experience
- 10 seasons
Line
Points · season avg 15.3 PTS · our lineSave this PrizePicks prop to your Playbook to track it
Verdict
vs 14.5 PTSPointsNo readFireFactor 7/100· model 60% over
Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)51neutral
Projection vs line60neutral
Consistency45neutral
Projection
16.7 PTS(×1.01 context)
L5 17.6 · L10 15.3 · med 14.0
Consistency
Variable
floor 11.4 · ceil 19.8
Matchup
B
defense vs role
Recent history runs over on this line. Descriptive research from past games — not betting advice.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
Last 55 games
60%over
3 over · 2 under
Low confidence95% CI 23%–88%Last 108 games
50%over
4 over · 4 under
Low confidence95% CI 22%–78%Last 208 games
50%over
4 over · 4 under
Low confidence95% CI 22%–78%Season8 games
50%over
4 over · 4 under
Low confidence95% CI 22%–78%Alternate lines — Points (PTS)
PTS over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.
| Line | Over | O / U | Confidence interval |
|---|---|---|---|
| 75% | 6/8 | ||
| 63% | 5/8 | ||
| 50% | 4/8 | ||
| 14.5Current | 50% | 4/8 | |
| 38% | 3/8 | ||
| 38% | 3/8 | ||
| 38% | 3/8 |
Situational splits
Over 14.5 PTS by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
Home / Away
Home50%2/4Low
Away50%2/4Low
Days since last game
1 day100%1/1Low
2 days100%3/3Low
3+ days0%0/3Low
Last matchup — vs DAL
Jul 10, 2026
7thof 15 in PTS allowed to forwards
DAL allows 10.3 PTS per game to forwards (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 58 player-games
NeutralThe read
Over his last 8 games, Isabelle Harrison has gone over 14.5 PTS 4 of 8 decided times (50%) — versus 50% across the full season. DAL has been a middling matchup for forwards this season, allowing the 7th-most PTS of 15 teams (10.3 per game). His game-to-game PTS have been moderately variable (σ ≈ 5.0), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Line shopping — Points (PTS)
Each book’s line and your season over rate at that number, vs the market consensus (11.5 PTS). A softer number you’d clear more often is a discount — the best one lifts the FireFactor read. Click a book to switch the whole read to it.
over rate = season hit rate at that line. Edge = points of hit rate vs the consensus line. Descriptive research from past games — not betting advice.
Fair-price calculator
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Edge vs
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 50%.