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Minnesota LynxLiatu King
#2 · F · 6' 0" · 3 games
Stats updated: Jul 15, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.
- College
- Notre Dame
- Experience
- 2 seasons
Line
Points · season avg 3.7 PTS · our lineSave this PrizePicks prop to your Playbook to track it
OutOutLiatu King isn't expected to play — the read below describes past games only.
- Injury:
- Coach's Decision
- Est. return:
- Aug 6, 2026
King will be held out of Sunday's contest as the Lynx manage her eligibility under a developmental contract. Her next chance to suit up will come Thursday against the Sparks.
Verdict
vs 1.5 PTSPointsNo readFireFactor 0/100· model 61% over
Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)99supports it
Projection vs line61supports it
Consistency0argues against it
Projection
3.4 PTS
L5 3.7 · L10 3.7 · med 2.0
Consistency
Boom-Bust
floor 0.8 · ceil 6.2
Matchup
A
defense vs role
Player is Out — no read on this line.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
Last 53 games
67%over
2 over · 1 under
Low confidence95% CI 21%–94%Last 103 games
67%over
2 over · 1 under
Low confidence95% CI 21%–94%Last 203 games
67%over
2 over · 1 under
Low confidence95% CI 21%–94%Season3 games
67%over
2 over · 1 under
Low confidence95% CI 21%–94%Alternate lines — Points (PTS)
PTS over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.
| Line | Over | O / U | Confidence interval |
|---|---|---|---|
| 67% | 2/3 | ||
| 1.5Current | 67% | 2/3 | |
| 33% | 1/3 | ||
| 33% | 1/3 | ||
| 33% | 1/3 |
Situational splits
Over 1.5 PTS by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
Home / Away
Home100%1/1Low
Away50%1/2Low
Days since last game
0 days (B2B)0%0/1Low
3+ days100%1/1Low
Last matchup — @ CHI
May 29, 2026
1stof 15 in PTS allowed to forwards
CHI allows 11.5 PTS per game to forwards (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 53 player-games
FavorableThe read
Over his last 3 games, Liatu King has gone over 1.5 PTS 2 of 3 decided times (67%) — versus 67% across the full season. CHI has been a favorable matchup for forwards this season, allowing the 1st-most PTS of 15 teams (11.5 per game). His game-to-game PTS have been highly variable (σ ≈ 3.9), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Fair-price calculator
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Edge vs
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 67%.