Los Angeles Sparks

Monique Akoa Makani Turnovers

Stats updated: Aug 1, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.

Monique Akoa Makani has gone over 2.5 TOV in 3 of his last 10 decided games (30%), measured against our typical-game line.

Experience: 3 seasons

Line

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PrizePicksTurnovers · season avg 1.9 TOV · PrizePicks line

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OutMonique Akoa Makani isn't expected to play — the read below describes past games only.

Injury:: Not Specified Not Injury Related Not Specified
Est. return:: Aug 5, 2026

Akoa Makani established herself as a productive member of the Mercury's backcourt across her first two seasons, and she'll be on the move ahead of Sunday's trade deadline. Across her first 19 appearances (16 starts) for Phoenix this year, she's averaged 9.4 points, 2.5 assists, 2.1 rebounds and 1.2 steals in 23.4 minutes per game, and she should have the chance to carve out a role alongside Ariel Atkins in the Sparks' backcourt to close out the season. Given the late-night nature of the trade, it seems unlikely that Akoa Makani will join Los Angeles ahead of Sunday's matchup against Portland.

Verdict

vs 2.5 TOVTurnovers

No readFireFactor 0/100· model 31% over

Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)44neutral

Projection vs line45neutral

Consistency0argues against it

Projection

1.9 TOV(×0.98 context)

L5 2.4 · L10 2.0 · med 2.0

Consistency

Boom-Bust

floor 1.0 · ceil 3.0

Matchup

defense vs role

Player is Out — no read on this line.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.

Last 55 games

40%over

2 over · 3 under

Low confidence95% CI 12%–77%

Last 1010 games

30%over

3 over · 7 under

Low confidence95% CI 11%–60%

Last 2012 games

33%over

4 over · 8 under

Low confidence95% CI 14%–61%

Season12 games

33%over

4 over · 8 under

Low confidence95% CI 14%–61%

Alternate lines — Turnovers (TOV)

TOV over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.

Over hit rate and 95% Wilson confidence interval at each alternate TOV line, season window
Line	Over	O / U
	83%	10/12
	67%	8/12
2.5Current	33%	4/12
	8%	1/12
	0%	0/12
	0%	0/12

Last 12 games — TOV per game vs. line 2.5. Warm = over, cool = under.

Situational splits

Over 2.5 TOV by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.

Home / Away

Home50%2/4Low

Away25%2/8Low

Days since last game

0 days (B2B)100%1/1Low

1 day25%1/4Low

2 days0%0/2Low

3+ days50%2/4Low

Last matchup — @ LA

Jul 22, 2026

9thof 15 in TOV allowed to guards

LA allows 1.7 TOV per game to guards (rank 1 = allows the most).

Sample: 72 player-games

Neutral

The read

Over his last 10 games, Monique Akoa Makani has gone over 2.5 TOV 3 of 10 decided times (30%) — versus 33% across the full season. LA has been a middling matchup for guards this season, allowing the 9th-most TOV of 15 teams (1.7 per game). His game-to-game TOV have been highly variable (σ ≈ 1.2), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.

Fair-price calculator

Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate. This demon/goblin/alternate line pays the over only — no under to price.

Over oddsOver only — this payout variant doesn't take an under.

Edge vs

Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 33%.