Los Angeles Sparks

Nneka Ogwumike Turnovers

Stats updated: Aug 2, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.

Nneka Ogwumike has gone over 1.5 TOV in 4 of his last 10 decided games (40%), measured against our typical-game line.

College: Stanford
Experience: 16 seasons

Verdict

vs 1.5 TOVTurnovers

No readFireFactor 6/100· model 50% under

Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)59neutral

Projection vs line50neutral

Consistency0argues against it

Projection

1.8 TOV(×0.99 context)

L5 2.0 · L10 1.5 · med 1.0

Consistency

Boom-Bust

floor 0.6 · ceil 2.0

Matchup

defense vs role

Recent history runs under on this line. Descriptive research from past games — not betting advice.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.

Last 55 games

60%over

3 over · 2 under

Low confidence95% CI 23%–88%

Last 1010 games

40%over

4 over · 6 under

Low confidence95% CI 17%–69%

Last 2019 games

47%over

9 over · 10 under

Medium confidence95% CI 27%–68%

Season19 games

47%over

9 over · 10 under

Medium confidence95% CI 27%–68%

Alternate lines — Turnovers (TOV)

TOV over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.

Over hit rate and 95% Wilson confidence interval at each alternate TOV line, season window
Line	Over	O / U
	79%	15/19
1.5Current	47%	9/19
	16%	3/19
	5%	1/19
	0%	0/19

Last 19 games — TOV per game vs. line 1.5. Warm = over, cool = under.

Situational splits

Over 1.5 TOV by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.

Home / Away

Home70%7/10Low

Away22%2/9Low

Days since last game

0 days (B2B)67%2/3Low

1 day67%4/6Low

2 days0%0/2Low

3+ days29%2/7Low

With a teammate out

How this TOV line has shifted when an injured teammate sits — usage often rises. Descriptive splits from past games, not a forecast.

Monique Akoa Makani out · Not Specified Not Injury Related Not Specified-0.2 TOV when he sits

Without (14g)

1.4 TOV

50% over 1.5

With (5g)

1.6 TOV

40% over 1.5

Last matchup — @ DAL

Jul 19, 2026

9thof 15 in TOV allowed to forwards

DAL allows 1.3 TOV per game to forwards (rank 1 = allows the most).

Sample: 58 player-games

Neutral

The read

Over his last 10 games, Nneka Ogwumike has gone over 1.5 TOV 4 of 10 decided times (40%) — versus 47% across the full season. DAL has been a middling matchup for forwards this season, allowing the 9th-most TOV of 15 teams (1.3 per game). His game-to-game TOV have been highly variable (σ ≈ 1.1), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.

Fair-price calculator

Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.

Over oddsUnder odds

Edge vs

Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 47%.