Loading…
Connecticut SunOlivia Nelson-Ododa Points + Rebounds + Assists
Stats updated: Aug 2, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.
Olivia Nelson-Ododa has gone over 22.5 PRA in 6 of his last 10 decided games (60%), measured against our typical-game line.
- College
- UConn
- Experience
- 6 seasons
Top reads — this player & matchup
pick one to load it belowRanked by FireFactor for the next matchup, straight from the game logs.
Line
Points + Rebounds + Assists · season avg 23.7 PRA · PrizePicks lineSave this PrizePicks prop to your Playbook to track it
Verdict
vs 22.5 PRAPoints + Rebounds + AssistsHot overFireFactor 66/100· model 62% over
Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)100supports it
Projection vs line62supports it
Consistency81supports it
Projection
23.6 PRA(×0.99 context)
L5 24.4 · L10 23.2 · med 23.0
Consistency
Steady
floor 21.0 · ceil 25.8
Matchup
A
defense vs role
Recent history runs over on this line. Descriptive research from past games — not betting advice.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
Last 55 games
80%over
4 over · 1 under
Low confidence95% CI 38%–96%Last 1010 games
60%over
6 over · 4 under
Low confidence95% CI 31%–83%Last 2013 games
69%over
9 over · 4 under
Medium confidence95% CI 42%–87%Season13 games
69%over
9 over · 4 under
Medium confidence95% CI 42%–87%Alternate lines — Points + Rebounds + Assists (PRA)
PRA over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.
| Line | Over | O / U | Confidence interval |
|---|---|---|---|
| 100% | 13/13 | ||
| 92% | 12/13 | ||
| 69% | 9/13 | ||
| 22.5Current | 69% | 9/13 | |
| 46% | 6/13 | ||
| 23% | 3/13 | ||
| 23% | 3/13 |
Situational splits
Over 22.5 PRA by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
Home / Away
Home71%5/7Low
Away67%4/6Low
Days since last game
0 days (B2B)0%0/1Low
1 day100%3/3Low
2 days0%0/1Low
3+ days71%5/7Low
With a teammate out
How this PRA line has shifted when an injured teammate sits — usage often rises. Descriptive splits from past games, not a forecast.
Brittney Griner out · Left Knee-0.6 PRA when he sits
Without (7g)
23.4 PRA
71% over 22.5
With (6g)
24.0 PRA
67% over 22.5
Aaliyah Edwards out · Right Knee+0.4 PRA when he sits
Without (3g)
24.0 PRA
67% over 22.5
With (10g)
23.6 PRA
70% over 22.5
Last matchup — @ DAL
Aug 2, 2026
4thof 15 in PRA allowed to centers
DAL allows 22.5 PRA per game to centers (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 24 player-games
FavorableThe read
Over his last 10 games, Olivia Nelson-Ododa has gone over 22.5 PRA 6 of 10 decided times (60%) — versus 69% across the full season. DAL has been a favorable matchup for centers this season, allowing the 4th-most PRA of 15 teams (22.5 per game). His game-to-game PRA have been fairly steady (σ ≈ 2.7), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Line shopping — Points + Rebounds + Assists (PRA)
Each book’s line and your season over rate at that number, vs the market consensus (22.5 PRA). A softer number you’d clear more often is a discount — the best one lifts the FireFactor read. Click a book to switch the whole read to it.
over rate = season hit rate at that line. Edge = points of hit rate vs the consensus line. Descriptive research from past games — not betting advice.
Fair-price calculator
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Edge vs
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 69%.
More Olivia Nelson-Ododa research
Olivia Nelson-Ododa — full profile→
Every stat, splits, chart, and matchup.
Nelson-Ododa Rebounds→
Rebounds hit rates and trends.
Nelson-Ododa Assists→
Assists hit rates and trends.
Nelson-Ododa 3-Pointers Made→
3-Pointers Made hit rates and trends.
Nelson-Ododa Steals→
Steals hit rates and trends.
Defense vs Position→
Which opponents inflate or suppress this prop.
WNBA Heat Check→
The strongest reads across the league.
Descriptive research from public game logs — hit rates describe past games and are not predictions, picks, or betting advice.