Chicago Sky

Skylar Diggins Turnovers

Stats updated: Jul 4, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.

Skylar Diggins has gone over 2.5 TOV in 5 of his last 10 decided games (50%), measured against our typical-game line.

College: Notre Dame
Experience: 12 seasons

Line

PrizePicksTurnovers · season avg 1.9 TOV · our line

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OutSkylar Diggins isn't expected to play — the read below describes past games only.

Injury:: Right Knee
Est. return:: Aug 10, 2026

Diggins hasn't played since July 3 due to a right knee injury and remains without a clear timetable for a return. The veteran guard can be considered week-to-week until the Sky provide an update on her progress.

Verdict

vs 2.5 TOVTurnovers

No readFireFactor 0/100· model 62% under

Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)69supports it

Projection vs line62supports it

Consistency3argues against it

Projection

2.1 TOV(×0.99 context)

L5 2.2 · L10 2.1 · med 2.5

Consistency

Variable

floor 1.0 · ceil 3.0

Matchup

defense vs role

Player is Out — no read on this line.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.

Last 55 games

60%over

3 over · 2 under

Low confidence95% CI 23%–88%

Last 1010 games

50%over

5 over · 5 under

Low confidence95% CI 24%–76%

Last 2012 games

42%over

5 over · 7 under

Low confidence95% CI 19%–68%

Season12 games

42%over

5 over · 7 under

Low confidence95% CI 19%–68%

Alternate lines — Turnovers (TOV)

TOV over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.

Over hit rate and 95% Wilson confidence interval at each alternate TOV line, season window
Line	Over	O / U
	83%	10/12
	67%	8/12
2.5Current	42%	5/12
	0%	0/12
	0%	0/12
	0%	0/12

Last 12 games — TOV per game vs. line 2.5. Warm = over, cool = under.

Situational splits

Over 2.5 TOV by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.

Home / Away

Home43%3/7Low

Away40%2/5Low

Days since last game

0 days (B2B)100%1/1Low

1 day50%1/2Low

2 days100%1/1Low

3+ days29%2/7Low

With a teammate out

How this TOV line has shifted when an injured teammate sits — usage often rises. Descriptive splits from past games, not a forecast.

Azura Stevens out · Personal-0.8 TOV when he sits

Without (3g)

1.3 TOV

0% over 2.5

With (9g)

2.1 TOV

56% over 2.5

Last matchup — @ LV

Jul 4, 2026

15thof 15 in TOV allowed to guards

LV allows 1.4 TOV per game to guards (rank 1 = allows the most).

Sample: 74 player-games

Tough

The read

Over his last 10 games, Skylar Diggins has gone over 2.5 TOV 5 of 10 decided times (50%) — versus 42% across the full season. LV has been a tough matchup for guards this season, allowing the 15th-most TOV of 15 teams (1.4 per game). His game-to-game TOV have been highly variable (σ ≈ 1.1), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.

Fair-price calculator

Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.

Over oddsUnder odds

Edge vs

Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 42%.