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Seattle StormStefanie Dolson
#31 · C · 6' 5" · 235 lb · 18 games
Stats updated: Aug 3, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.
- College
- UConn
- Experience
- 14 seasons
Top reads — this player & matchup
pick one to load it belowRanked by FireFactor for the next matchup, straight from the game logs.
Line
Points · season avg 5.1 PTS · our lineSave this PrizePicks prop to your Playbook to track it
Verdict
vs 5.5 PTSPointsNo readFireFactor 7/100· model 67% under
Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)72supports it
Projection vs line67supports it
Consistency0argues against it
Projection
3.7 PTS(×0.90 context)
L5 3.2 · L10 3.4 · med 3.0
Consistency
Boom-Bust
floor 2.0 · ceil 6.0
Matchup
D
defense vs role
Recent history runs under on this line. Descriptive research from past games — not betting advice.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
Last 55 games
20%over
1 over · 4 under
Low confidence95% CI 4%–62%Last 1010 games
30%over
3 over · 7 under
Low confidence95% CI 11%–60%Last 2018 games
44%over
8 over · 10 under
Medium confidence95% CI 25%–66%Season18 games
44%over
8 over · 10 under
Medium confidence95% CI 25%–66%Alternate lines — Points (PTS)
PTS over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.
| Line | Over | O / U | Confidence interval |
|---|---|---|---|
| 72% | 13/18 | ||
| 56% | 10/18 | ||
| 56% | 10/18 | ||
| 5.5Current | 44% | 8/18 | |
| 17% | 3/18 | ||
| 11% | 2/18 | ||
| 11% | 2/18 |
Situational splits
Over 5.5 PTS by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
Home / Away
Home22%2/9Low
Away67%6/9Low
Days since last game
0 days (B2B)100%2/2Low
1 day40%2/5Low
2 days25%1/4Low
3+ days33%2/6Low
Last matchup — vs IND
Jul 28, 2026
12thof 15 in PTS allowed to centers
IND allows 10.5 PTS per game to centers (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 17 player-games
ToughThe read
Over his last 10 games, Stefanie Dolson has gone over 5.5 PTS 3 of 10 decided times (30%) — versus 44% across the full season. IND has been a tough matchup for centers this season, allowing the 12th-most PTS of 15 teams (10.5 per game). His game-to-game PTS have been highly variable (σ ≈ 4.4), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Fair-price calculator
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Edge vs
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 44%.