Chicago Sky

Sydney Taylor Steals

Stats updated: Aug 3, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.

Sydney Taylor has gone over 0.5 STL in 6 of his last 10 decided games (60%), measured against our typical-game line.

College: Louisville
Experience: Rookie

Line

PrizePicksSteals · season avg 0.9 STL · PrizePicks line

Save this PrizePicks prop to your Playbook to track it

OutSydney Taylor isn't expected to play — the read below describes past games only.

Injury:: Left Groin Not Specified
Est. return:: Aug 5, 2026

Taylor had 29 points in Saturday's 84-83 victory over the Aces. She was having another quality game Monday, though her night ended abruptly due to a left-groin injury. The 25-year-old will likely undergo further testing and should appear on the injury report ahead of Wednesday's meeting with the Sparks, assuming there isn't an update on her condition before then. If Taylor can't suit up for that contest, DiJonai Carrington and Jacy Sheldon should receive more minutes.

Verdict

vs 0.5 STLSteals

No readFireFactor 0/100· model 63% over

Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)92supports it

Projection vs line63supports it

Consistency0argues against it

Projection

0.9 STL(×1.06 context)

L5 0.8 · L10 0.7 · med 1.0

Consistency

Boom-Bust

floor 0.0 · ceil 1.0

Matchup

defense vs role

Player is Out — no read on this line.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.

Last 55 games

80%over

4 over · 1 under

Low confidence95% CI 38%–96%

Last 1010 games

60%over

6 over · 4 under

Low confidence95% CI 31%–83%

Last 2014 games

64%over

9 over · 5 under

Medium confidence95% CI 39%–84%

Season14 games

64%over

9 over · 5 under

Medium confidence95% CI 39%–84%

Alternate lines — Steals (STL)

STL over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.

Over hit rate and 95% Wilson confidence interval at each alternate STL line, season window
Line	Over	O / U
0.5Current	64%	9/14
	14%	2/14
	7%	1/14
	0%	0/14

Last 14 games — STL per game vs. line 0.5. Warm = over, cool = under.

Situational splits

Over 0.5 STL by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.

Home / Away

Home75%6/8Low

Away50%3/6Low

Days since last game

1 day75%3/4Low

2 days100%3/3Low

3+ days33%2/6Low

With a teammate out

How this STL line has shifted when an injured teammate sits — usage often rises. Descriptive splits from past games, not a forecast.

Skylar Diggins out · Right Knee-0.5 STL when he sits

Without (8g)

0.6 STL

63% over 0.5

With (6g)

1.2 STL

67% over 0.5

Last matchup — vs LV

Aug 1, 2026

13thof 15 in STL allowed to guards

LV allows 0.9 STL per game to guards (rank 1 = allows the most).

Sample: 74 player-games

Tough

The read

Over his last 10 games, Sydney Taylor has gone over 0.5 STL 6 of 10 decided times (60%) — versus 64% across the full season. LV has been a tough matchup for guards this season, allowing the 13th-most STL of 15 teams (0.9 per game). His game-to-game STL have been highly variable (σ ≈ 0.8), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.

Fair-price calculator

Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.

Over oddsUnder odds

Edge vs

Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 64%.