Atlanta Dream

Te-Hina Paopao 3-Pointers Made

Stats updated: Jul 13, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.

Te-Hina Paopao has gone over 1.5 3PM in 3 of his last 10 decided games (30%), measured against our typical-game line.

College: South Carolina
Experience: 3 seasons

Line

PrizePicks3-Pointers Made · season avg 1.3 3PM · our line

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OutTe-Hina Paopao isn't expected to play — the read below describes past games only.

Injury:: Right Leg
Est. return:: Aug 10, 2026

Paopao has already missed the last two games with a right leg injury and can be considered week-to-week moving forward. In the meantime, Isobel Borlase will likely see a bump in minutes off the bench.

Verdict

vs 1.5 3PM3-Pointers Made

No readFireFactor 0/100· model 71% under

Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)95supports it

Projection vs line71supports it

Consistency0argues against it

Projection

1.0 3PM(×0.91 context)

L5 1.0 · L10 1.1 · med 1.0

Consistency

Boom-Bust

floor 0.0 · ceil 2.4

Matchup

defense vs role

Player is Out — no read on this line.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.

Last 55 games

20%over

1 over · 4 under

Low confidence95% CI 4%–62%

Last 1010 games

30%over

3 over · 7 under

Low confidence95% CI 11%–60%

Last 2014 games

36%over

5 over · 9 under

Medium confidence95% CI 16%–61%

Season14 games

36%over

5 over · 9 under

Medium confidence95% CI 16%–61%

Alternate lines — 3-Pointers Made (3PM)

3PM over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.

Over hit rate and 95% Wilson confidence interval at each alternate 3PM line, season window
Line	Over	O / U
	64%	9/14
1.5Current	36%	5/14
	21%	3/14
	7%	1/14
	0%	0/14

Last 14 games — 3PM per game vs. line 1.5. Warm = over, cool = under.

Situational splits

Over 1.5 3PM by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.

Home / Away

Home67%4/6Low

Away13%1/8Medium

Days since last game

1 day50%2/4Low

2 days0%0/3Low

3+ days50%3/6Low

Last matchup — @ SEA

Jun 28, 2026

12thof 15 in 3PM allowed to guards

SEA allows 1.2 3PM per game to guards (rank 1 = allows the most).

Sample: 79 player-games

Tough

The read

Over his last 10 games, Te-Hina Paopao has gone over 1.5 3PM 3 of 10 decided times (30%) — versus 36% across the full season. SEA has been a tough matchup for guards this season, allowing the 12th-most 3PM of 15 teams (1.2 per game). His game-to-game 3PM have been highly variable (σ ≈ 1.3), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.

Fair-price calculator

Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.

Over oddsUnder odds

Edge vs

Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 36%.