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Georgia Tech Yellow JacketsJ.T. Byrne
#88 · TE · 6' 5" · 265 lb · 5 games
Stats updated: Dec 27, 2025 — nightly box scores, not live.
- College
- Georgia Tech
- Experience
- 5 seasons
Top reads — this player & matchup
pick one to load it belowRanked by FireFactor for the next matchup, straight from the game logs.
Line
Receiving Yards · season avg 8.4 REC YDSSave this PrizePicks prop to your Playbook to track it
Verdict
vs 5.5 REC YDSReceiving YardsNo readFireFactor 9/100· model 64% over
Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)79supports it
Projection vs line64supports it
Consistency0argues against it
Projection
8.0 REC YDS
L5 8.4 · L10 8.4 · med 6.0
Consistency
Boom-Bust
floor 4.8 · ceil 9.0
Matchup
B
defense vs role
Recent history runs over on this line. Descriptive research from past games — not betting advice.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
Last 55 games
60%over
3 over · 2 under
Low confidence95% CI 23%–88%Last 105 games
60%over
3 over · 2 under
Low confidence95% CI 23%–88%Last 205 games
60%over
3 over · 2 under
Low confidence95% CI 23%–88%Season5 games
60%over
3 over · 2 under
Low confidence95% CI 23%–88%Alternate lines — Receiving Yards (REC YDS)
REC YDS over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.
| Line | Over | O / U | Confidence interval |
|---|---|---|---|
| 100% | 5/5 | ||
| 100% | 5/5 | ||
| 80% | 4/5 | ||
| 5.5Current | 60% | 3/5 | |
| 20% | 1/5 | ||
| 20% | 1/5 | ||
| 20% | 1/5 |
Situational splits
Over 5.5 REC YDS by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
Home / Away
Away60%3/5Low
Days since last game
3+ days75%3/4Low
Last matchup — @ BYU
Dec 27, 2025
89thof 223 in REC YDS allowed to tight ends
BYU allows 20.7 REC YDS per game to tight ends (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 17 player-games
NeutralThe read
Over his last 5 games, J.T. Byrne has gone over 5.5 REC YDS 3 of 5 decided times (60%) — versus 60% across the full season. BYU has been a middling matchup for tight ends this season, allowing the 89th-most REC YDS of 223 teams (20.7 per game). His game-to-game REC YDS have been highly variable (σ ≈ 6.3), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Fair-price calculator
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Edge vs
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 60%.