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Southern Miss Golden EaglesJeffery Pittman
#0 · RB · 6' 1" · 215 lb · 11 games
Stats updated: Dec 23, 2025 — nightly box scores, not live.
- College
- Southern Miss
- Experience
- 4 seasons
Line
Rushing Yards · season avg 63.2 RUSH YDSSave this PrizePicks prop to your Playbook to track it
Verdict
vs 54.5 RUSH YDSRushing YardsNo readFireFactor 6/100· model 48% over
Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)64supports it
Projection vs line48neutral
Consistency20argues against it
Projection
53.8 RUSH YDS(×0.90 context)
L5 55.2 · L10 67.9 · med 63.0
Consistency
Variable
floor 41.0 · ceil 75.0
Matchup
C
defense vs role
Recent history runs over on this line. Descriptive research from past games — not betting advice.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
Last 55 games
40%over
2 over · 3 under
Low confidence95% CI 12%–77%Last 1010 games
60%over
6 over · 4 under
Low confidence95% CI 31%–83%Last 2011 games
55%over
6 over · 5 under
Low confidence95% CI 28%–79%Season11 games
55%over
6 over · 5 under
Low confidence95% CI 28%–79%Alternate lines — Rushing Yards (RUSH YDS)
RUSH YDS over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.
| Line | Over | O / U | Confidence interval |
|---|---|---|---|
| 64% | 7/11 | ||
| 64% | 7/11 | ||
| 64% | 7/11 | ||
| 54.5Current | 55% | 6/11 | |
| 45% | 5/11 | ||
| 45% | 5/11 | ||
| 45% | 5/11 |
Situational splits
Over 54.5 RUSH YDS by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
Home / Away
Home43%3/7Low
Away75%3/4Low
Days since last game
3+ days60%6/10Low
Last matchup — vs WKU
Dec 23, 2025
104thof 236 in RUSH YDS allowed to running backs
WKU allows 50.5 RUSH YDS per game to running backs (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 30 player-games
NeutralThe read
Over his last 10 games, Jeffery Pittman has gone over 54.5 RUSH YDS 6 of 10 decided times (60%) — versus 55% across the full season. WKU has been a middling matchup for running backs this season, allowing the 104th-most RUSH YDS of 236 teams (50.5 per game). His game-to-game RUSH YDS have been highly variable (σ ≈ 30.3), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Fair-price calculator
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Edge vs
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 55%.