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Baylor BearsKobe Prentice
#16 · WR · 7 games
Stats updated: Nov 29, 2025 — nightly box scores, not live.
Line
Receiving Yards · season avg 39.3 REC YDSSave this PrizePicks prop to your Playbook to track it
Verdict
vs 37.5 REC YDSReceiving YardsNo readFireFactor 7/100· model 59% over
Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)68supports it
Projection vs line59neutral
Consistency0argues against it
Projection
44.2 REC YDS(×1.03 context)
L5 34.8 · L10 39.3 · med 38.0
Consistency
Boom-Bust
floor 10.4 · ceil 59.4
Matchup
D
defense vs role
Recent history runs over on this line. Descriptive research from past games — not betting advice.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
Last 55 games
40%over
2 over · 3 under
Low confidence95% CI 12%–77%Last 107 games
57%over
4 over · 3 under
Low confidence95% CI 25%–84%Last 207 games
57%over
4 over · 3 under
Low confidence95% CI 25%–84%Season7 games
57%over
4 over · 3 under
Low confidence95% CI 25%–84%Alternate lines — Receiving Yards (REC YDS)
REC YDS over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.
| Line | Over | O / U | Confidence interval |
|---|---|---|---|
| 57% | 4/7 | ||
| 57% | 4/7 | ||
| 57% | 4/7 | ||
| 37.5Current | 57% | 4/7 | |
| 43% | 3/7 | ||
| 43% | 3/7 | ||
| 43% | 3/7 |
Situational splits
Over 37.5 REC YDS by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
Home / Away
Home75%3/4Low
Away33%1/3Low
Days since last game
3+ days50%3/6Low
Last matchup — vs HOU
Nov 29, 2025
182ndof 233 in REC YDS allowed to wide receivers
HOU allows 41.4 REC YDS per game to wide receivers (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 41 player-games
ToughThe read
Over his last 7 games, Kobe Prentice has gone over 37.5 REC YDS 4 of 7 decided times (57%) — versus 57% across the full season. HOU has been a tough matchup for wide receivers this season, allowing the 182nd-most REC YDS of 233 teams (41.4 per game). His game-to-game REC YDS have been highly variable (σ ≈ 29.9), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Fair-price calculator
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Edge vs
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 57%.