Cincinnati Reds

Blake Dunn RBIs

Stats updated: Jun 26, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.

Blake Dunn has gone over 0.5 RBI in 1 of his last 10 decided games (10%), measured against our typical-game line.

Country: USA
Experience: 3 seasons

Line

PrizePicksRBIs · season avg 0.2 RBI · our line

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Injured ListBlake Dunn isn't expected to play — the read below describes past games only.

Injury:: Right Elbow Surgery
Est. return:: Feb 1, 2027

Dunn has been on the shelf since late June due to a right elbow sprain, and he suffered a setback last week shortly before he was scheduled to begin a rehab assignment. The Reds haven't given an updated timeline for the 27-year-old's return, though his procedure will almost certainly rule him out for the remainder of the season. Dane Myers figures to continue working as Cincinnati's primary center fielder while ceding an occasional start to TJ Friedl.

Verdict

vs 0.5 RBIRBIs

No readFireFactor 0/100· model 81% under

Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)100supports it

Projection vs line81supports it

Consistency0argues against it

Matchup0argues against it

Projection

0.3 RBI(×1.10 context)

L5 0.2 · L10 0.1 · med 0.0

Consistency

Boom-Bust

floor 0.0 · ceil 0.0

Matchup

defense vs role

Player is Out — no read on this line.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.

Last 55 games

20%over

1 over · 4 under

Low confidence95% CI 4%–62%

Last 1010 games

10%over

1 over · 9 under

Medium confidence95% CI 2%–40%

Last 2020 games

15%over

3 over · 17 under

Medium confidence95% CI 5%–36%

Season33 games

15%over

5 over · 28 under

High confidence95% CI 7%–31%

Alternate lines — RBIs (RBI)

RBI over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.

Over hit rate and 95% Wilson confidence interval at each alternate RBI line, season window
Line	Over	O / U
0.5Current	15%	5/33
	3%	1/33
	0%	0/33
	0%	0/33

Last 20 games — RBI per game vs. line 0.5. Warm = over, cool = under.

Situational splits

Over 0.5 RBI by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.

Home / Away

Home22%4/18Medium

Away7%1/15Medium

Days since last game

0 days (B2B)15%3/20Medium

1 day0%0/5Medium

2 days17%1/6Low

Next matchup — @ WSH

Aug 8, 2026

3rdof 30 in RBI allowed to hitters

WSH pitching allows 5.0 RBI per game to hitters (rank 1 = allows the most).

Sample: 118 games

Favorable

The read

Over his last 10 games, Blake Dunn has gone over 0.5 RBI 1 of 10 decided times (10%) — versus 15% across the full season. WSH has been a favorable matchup for hitters this season, allowing the 3rd-most RBI of 30 teams (5.0 per game). His game-to-game RBI have been highly variable (σ ≈ 0.5), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.

Home park

Great American Ball Park · Cincinnati Reds

hitter-friendly (runs ×1.05, HR ×1.18)

Park context for this player's home games. Not folded into the hit rates above — those already reflect the parks they've played in.

Fair-price calculator

Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.

Over oddsUnder odds

Edge vs

Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 15%.