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Pittsburgh PiratesEndy Rodríguez
#13 · C · 6-0 · 207 lb · 34 games
Stats updated: Aug 13, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.
- Country
- Dominican Republic
- Experience
- 4 seasons
Line
Hits · season avg 1.0 H · our lineSave this PrizePicks prop to your Playbook to track it
Injured ListInjured ListEndy Rodríguez isn't expected to play — the read below describes past games only.
- Injury:
- Left Hip Surgery
- Est. return:
- May 1, 2027
The transaction clears space on the 40-man roster for the addition of Christian Bethancourt. Rodriguez underwent season-ending surgery last week to repair the labrum in his left hip.
Verdict
vs 0.5 HHitsNo readFireFactor 0/100· model 69% over
Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)100supports it
Projection vs line69supports it
Consistency0argues against it
Matchup100supports it
Projection
1.1 H(×1.04 context)
L5 1.2 · L10 1.0 · med 1.0
Consistency
Boom-Bust
floor 0.0 · ceil 2.0
Matchup
A
defense vs role
Player is Out — no read on this line.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
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Last 55 games
80%over
4 over · 1 under
Low confidence95% CI 38%–96%Last 1010 games
80%over
8 over · 2 under
Low confidence95% CI 49%–94%Last 2020 games
85%over
17 over · 3 under
Medium confidence95% CI 64%–95%Season34 games
68%over
23 over · 11 under
Medium confidence95% CI 51%–81%Alternate lines — Hits (H)
H over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.
| Line | Over | O / U | Confidence interval |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5Current | 68% | 23/34 | |
| 26% | 9/34 | ||
| 6% | 2/34 | ||
| 0% | 0/34 |
Situational splits
Over 0.5 H by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
Home / Away
Home58%7/12Low
Away73%16/22Medium
Days since last game
0 days (B2B)67%8/12Low
1 day71%10/14Medium
2 days50%2/4Low
3+ days67%2/3Low
With a teammate out
How this H line has shifted when an injured teammate sits — usage often rises. Descriptive splits from past games, not a forecast.
Esmerlyn Valdez out · Left Hamstring Strain-0.4 H when he sits
Without (14g)
0.8 H
57% over 0.5
With (20g)
1.1 H
75% over 0.5
Next matchup — vs STL
Sep 22, 2026
6thof 30 in H allowed to hitters
STL pitching allows 8.6 H per game to hitters (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 156 games
FavorableThe read
Over his last 10 games, Endy Rodríguez has gone over 0.5 H 8 of 10 decided times (80%) — versus 68% across the full season. STL has been a favorable matchup for hitters this season, allowing the 6th-most H of 30 teams (8.6 per game). His game-to-game H have been highly variable (σ ≈ 0.9), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Home park
PNC Park · Pittsburgh Pirates
neutral (runs ×0.97, HR ×0.90)
Park context for this player's home games. Not folded into the hit rates above — those already reflect the parks they've played in.
Fair-price calculator
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Edge vs
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 68%.