Loading…
San Jose EarthquakesAngus Gunn
#1 · G · 6' 5" · 170 lb · 15 games
Stats updated: Oct 28, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.
Line
Saves · season avg 3.1 SV · PrizePicks lineSave this PrizePicks prop to your Playbook to track it
Verdict
vs 3 SVSavesNo readFireFactor 6/100· model 42% over
Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)55neutral
Projection vs line42neutral
Consistency0argues against it
Matchup50neutral
Projection
2.6 SV(×0.99 context)
L5 2.4 · L10 2.5 · med 2.5
Consistency
Boom-Bust
floor 0.8 · ceil 6.0
Matchup
C
defense vs role
Recent history runs over on this line. Descriptive research from past games — not betting advice.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
Book links are referral links — we may earn a commission. It never affects the numbers on this page.
Last 55 games
33%over
1 over · 2 under · 2 push
Low confidence95% CI 6%–79%Last 1010 games
38%over
3 over · 5 under · 2 push
Low confidence95% CI 14%–69%Last 2015 games
54%over
7 over · 6 under · 2 push
Low confidence95% CI 29%–77%Season15 games
54%over
7 over · 6 under · 2 push
Low confidence95% CI 29%–77%Alternate lines — Saves (SV)
SV over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.
| Line | Over | O / U | Confidence interval |
|---|---|---|---|
| 77% | 10/13 | ||
| 64% | 9/14 | ||
| 3Current | 54% | 7/13 | |
| 33% | 4/12 | ||
| 27% | 4/15 | ||
| 8% | 1/12 |
Situational splits
Over 3 SV by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
Home / Away
Home43%3/7Low
Away67%4/6Low
Days since last game
1 day0%0/1Low
2 days50%1/2Low
3+ days56%5/9Low
Next matchup — @ MIN
Nov 8, 2026
18thof 32 in SV allowed to goalkeepers
MIN allows 2.9 SV per game to goalkeepers (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 36 player-games
NeutralThe read
Over his last 10 games, Angus Gunn has gone over 3 SV 3 of 8 decided times (38%) — versus 54% across the full season. MIN has been a middling matchup for goalkeepers this season, allowing the 18th-most SV of 32 teams (2.9 per game). His game-to-game SV have been highly variable (σ ≈ 2.3), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Fair-price calculator
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Edge vs
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 54%.