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Orlando CityJavier Otero
#12 · G · 6' 6" · 190 lb · 2 games
Stats updated: Mar 14, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.
Linepays more
Saves · season avg 2.0 SV · PrizePicks lineSave this PrizePicks prop to your Playbook to track it
PrizePicks payout options — Saves (SV)
Pick any line — standard, demon (harder, pays more), goblin (easier, pays less), or an alternate with its payout multiplier — and the whole read updates to it. Only the standard line takes an under; every other variant pays the over only. Each rung’s FireFactor is scored against its OWN payout breakeven — 0 means fairly priced for that payout, not a coin flip — so rungs compare directly. The bar uses the best information available: an exact posted multiplier, else the market’s de-vigged sportsbook odds at that exact line, else a published-payout approximation.
How PrizePicks payouts work with demons & goblins
Typical entry payouts (verify in the app — they change and can vary by state): Power Play 2-pick 3×, 3-pick 5×, 4-pick 10×. Flex Play 3-pick 2.25× (1.25× one miss), 4-pick 5× (1.5× one miss), 5-pick 10× (2× / 0.4× on misses), 6-pick 25× (2× / 0.4× on misses).
Demons: Adding a demon raises the whole entry’s payout multiple (a harder line buys a bigger multiplier). Demons can only be taken as More.
Goblins: Adding a goblin lowers the whole entry’s payout multiple (an easier line costs payout). Goblins can only be taken as More and aren’t combinable with everything — the app shows the exact adjusted payout.
Verdict
vs 4.5 SVSavesNo readFireFactor 0/100· model 10% over
Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)0argues against it
Projection vs line17argues against it
Consistency0argues against it
Projection
2.1 SV
L5 2.0 · L10 2.0 · med 2.0
Consistency
Boom-Bust
floor 0.8 · ceil 3.2
Matchup
B
defense vs role
Scored against this payout variant's ~35% breakeven — 0 means fairly priced for its payout, not a coin flip. Small sample, so read with extra caution. Descriptive research from past games — not betting advice.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
Last 52 games
0%over
0 over · 2 under
Low confidence95% CI 0%–66%Last 102 games
0%over
0 over · 2 under
Low confidence95% CI 0%–66%Last 202 games
0%over
0 over · 2 under
Low confidence95% CI 0%–66%Season2 games
0%over
0 over · 2 under
Low confidence95% CI 0%–66%Situational splits
Over 4.5 SV by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
Home / Away
Home0%0/1Low
Away0%0/1Low
Days since last game
3+ days0%0/1Low
Last matchup — vs MTL
Mar 14, 2026
12thof 32 in SV allowed to goalkeepers
MTL allows 3.3 SV per game to goalkeepers (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 18 player-games
NeutralThe read
Over his last 2 games, Javier Otero has gone over 4.5 SV 0 of 2 decided times (0%) — versus 0% across the full season. MTL has been a middling matchup for goalkeepers this season, allowing the 12th-most SV of 32 teams (3.3 per game). His game-to-game SV have been highly variable (σ ≈ 2.0), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Fair-price calculator
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate. This demon/goblin/alternate line pays the over only — no under to price.
Over only — this payout variant doesn't take an under.
Edge vs
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 0%.