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Sporting KCJohn Pulskamp
#1 · G · 6' 4" · 207 lb · 9 games
Stats updated: Apr 26, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.
Line
Saves · season avg 3.0 SV · our lineSave this PrizePicks prop to your Playbook to track it
Verdict
vs 3.5 SVSavesNo readFireFactor 6/100· model 38% over
Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)67supports it
Projection vs line38argues against it
Consistency21argues against it
Projection
2.6 SV
L5 2.6 · L10 3.0 · med 4.0
Consistency
Variable
floor 2.2 · ceil 4.0
Matchup
C
defense vs role
Recent history runs over on this line. Descriptive research from past games — not betting advice.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
Last 55 games
60%over
3 over · 2 under
Low confidence95% CI 23%–88%Last 109 games
56%over
5 over · 4 under
Low confidence95% CI 27%–81%Last 209 games
56%over
5 over · 4 under
Low confidence95% CI 27%–81%Season9 games
56%over
5 over · 4 under
Low confidence95% CI 27%–81%Alternate lines — Saves (SV)
SV over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.
| Line | Over | O / U | Confidence interval |
|---|---|---|---|
| 89% | 8/9 | ||
| 78% | 7/9 | ||
| 78% | 7/9 | ||
| 3.5Current | 56% | 5/9 | |
| 0% | 0/9 | ||
| 0% | 0/9 | ||
| 0% | 0/9 |
Situational splits
Over 3.5 SV by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
Home / Away
Home50%2/4Low
Away60%3/5Low
Days since last game
3+ days63%5/8Low
Last matchup — @ CHI
Apr 26, 2026
14thof 32 in SV allowed to goalkeepers
CHI allows 3.1 SV per game to goalkeepers (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 17 player-games
NeutralThe read
Over his last 9 games, John Pulskamp has gone over 3.5 SV 5 of 9 decided times (56%) — versus 56% across the full season. CHI has been a middling matchup for goalkeepers this season, allowing the 14th-most SV of 32 teams (3.1 per game). His game-to-game SV have been highly variable (σ ≈ 1.4), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Fair-price calculator
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Edge vs
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 56%.