FC Dallas

Kaick Shots on Target

Stats updated: Aug 1, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.

Kaick has gone over 0.5 SOT in 1 of his last 10 decided games (10%), measured against our typical-game line.

Line

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PrizePicksShots on Target · season avg 0.2 SOT · PrizePicks line

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Verdict

vs 0.5 SOTShots on Target

No readFireFactor 2/100· model 16% over

Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)5argues against it

Projection vs line26argues against it

Consistency0argues against it

Projection

0.1 SOT

L5 0.0 · L10 0.1 · med 0.0

Consistency

Boom-Bust

floor 0.0 · ceil 0.6

Matchup

defense vs role

Scored against this payout variant's ~35% breakeven — 0 means fairly priced for its payout, not a coin flip. Descriptive research from past games — not betting advice.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.

Last 55 games

0%over

0 over · 5 under

Medium confidence95% CI 0%–43%

Last 1010 games

10%over

1 over · 9 under

Medium confidence95% CI 2%–40%

Last 2018 games

22%over

4 over · 14 under

Medium confidence95% CI 9%–45%

Season18 games

22%over

4 over · 14 under

Medium confidence95% CI 9%–45%

Alternate lines — Shots on Target (SOT)

SOT over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.

Over hit rate and 95% Wilson confidence interval at each alternate SOT line, season window
Line	Over	O / U
0.5Current	22%	4/18
	0%	0/18
	0%	0/18
	0%	0/18

Last 18 games — SOT per game vs. line 0.5. Warm = over, cool = under.

Situational splits

Over 0.5 SOT by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.

Home / Away

Home44%4/9Low

Away0%0/9Medium

Days since last game

1 day0%0/1Low

2 days0%0/2Low

3+ days29%4/14Medium

Last matchup — @ LA

Aug 1, 2026

22ndof 32 in SOT allowed to midfielders

LA allows 0.3 SOT per game to midfielders (rank 1 = allows the most).

Sample: 107 player-games

Tough

The read

Over his last 10 games, Kaick has gone over 0.5 SOT 1 of 10 decided times (10%) — versus 22% across the full season. LA has been a tough matchup for midfielders this season, allowing the 22nd-most SOT of 32 teams (0.3 per game). His game-to-game SOT have been highly variable (σ ≈ 0.4), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.

Fair-price calculator

Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate. This demon/goblin/alternate line pays the over only — no under to price.

Over oddsOver only — this payout variant doesn't take an under.

Edge vs

Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 22%.