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AustinOleksandr Svatok Shots on Target
Stats updated: Jul 25, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.
Oleksandr Svatok has gone over 0.5 SOT in 0 of his last 10 decided games (0%), measured against our typical-game line.
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Shots on Target · season avg 0.1 SOT · PrizePicks lineSave this PrizePicks prop to your Playbook to track it
Verdict
vs 0.5 SOTShots on TargetNo readFireFactor 1/100· model 4% over
Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)0argues against it
Projection vs line9argues against it
Consistency0argues against it
Projection
0.0 SOT
L5 0.0 · L10 0.0 · med 0.0
Consistency
Boom-Bust
floor 0.0 · ceil 0.0
Matchup
D
defense vs role
Scored against this payout variant's ~35% breakeven — 0 means fairly priced for its payout, not a coin flip. Descriptive research from past games — not betting advice.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
Last 55 games
0%over
0 over · 5 under
Medium confidence95% CI 0%–43%Last 1010 games
0%over
0 over · 10 under
Medium confidence95% CI 0%–28%Last 2016 games
6%over
1 over · 15 under
Medium confidence95% CI 1%–28%Season16 games
6%over
1 over · 15 under
Medium confidence95% CI 1%–28%Alternate lines — Shots on Target (SOT)
SOT over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.
| Line | Over | O / U | Confidence interval |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5Current | 6% | 1/16 | |
| 0% | 0/16 | ||
| 0% | 0/16 | ||
| 0% | 0/16 |
Situational splits
Over 0.5 SOT by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
Home / Away
Home13%1/8Medium
Away0%0/8Medium
Days since last game
1 day0%0/1Low
2 days0%0/1Low
3+ days8%1/13Medium
Last matchup — @ HOU
Jul 25, 2026
25thof 32 in SOT allowed to defenders
HOU allows 0.1 SOT per game to defenders (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 81 player-games
ToughThe read
Over his last 10 games, Oleksandr Svatok has gone over 0.5 SOT 0 of 10 decided times (0%) — versus 6% across the full season. HOU has been a tough matchup for defenders this season, allowing the 25th-most SOT of 32 teams (0.1 per game). His game-to-game SOT have been highly variable (σ ≈ 0.2), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Fair-price calculator
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate. This demon/goblin/alternate line pays the over only — no under to price.
Over only — this payout variant doesn't take an under.
Edge vs
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 6%.
More Oleksandr Svatok research
Descriptive research from public game logs — hit rates describe past games and are not predictions, picks, or betting advice.