
#4 · D · 5' 11" · 161 lb · 9 games
Stats updated: Aug 1, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.
Scored against this payout variant's ~35% breakeven — 0 means fairly priced for its payout, not a coin flip. Descriptive research from past games — not betting advice.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
SH over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.
| Line | Over | O / U | Confidence interval |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11% | 1/9 | ||
| 1.5Current | 0% | 0/9 | |
| 0% | 0/9 | ||
| 0% | 0/9 | ||
| 0% | 0/9 |
Over 1.5 SH by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
ATX allows 0.5 SH per game to defenders (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 84 player-games
FavorableOver his last 9 games, Reggie Cannon has gone over 1.5 SH 0 of 9 decided times (0%) — versus 0% across the full season. ATX has been a favorable matchup for defenders this season, allowing the 5th-most SH of 32 teams (0.5 per game). His game-to-game SH have been highly variable (σ ≈ 0.3), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate. This demon/goblin/alternate line pays the over only — no under to price.
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 0%.