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FC CincinnatiSamuel Gidi
#11 · M · 5' 10" · 161 lb · 24 games
Stats updated: Sep 19, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.
Linepays more
Shots · season avg 0.3 SH · PrizePicks lineSave this PrizePicks prop to your Playbook to track it
Verdict
vs 3.5 SHShotsNo readFireFactor 0/100· model 0% over
Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)0argues against it
Projection vs line9argues against it
Consistency0argues against it
Matchup50neutral
Projection
0.6 SH(×1.03 context)
L5 0.6 · L10 0.5 · med 0.0
Consistency
Boom-Bust
floor 0.0 · ceil 0.0
Matchup
C
defense vs role
Scored against this payout variant's ~35% breakeven — 0 means fairly priced for its payout, not a coin flip. Descriptive research from past games — not betting advice.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
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Last 55 games
0%over
0 over · 5 under
Medium confidence95% CI 0%–43%Last 1010 games
0%over
0 over · 10 under
Medium confidence95% CI 0%–28%Last 2020 games
0%over
0 over · 20 under
High confidence95% CI 0%–16%Season24 games
0%over
0 over · 24 under
High confidence95% CI 0%–14%Alternate lines — Shots (SH)
SH over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.
| Line | Over | O / U | Confidence interval |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17% | 4/24 | ||
| 8% | 2/24 | ||
| 0% | 0/24 | ||
| 3.5Current | 0% | 0/24 | |
| 0% | 0/24 | ||
| 0% | 0/24 | ||
| 0% | 0/24 |
Situational splits
Over 3.5 SH by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
Home / Away
Home0%0/12High
Away0%0/12High
Days since last game
2 days0%0/4Low
3+ days0%0/19High
Next matchup — @ MTL
Sep 26, 2026
19thof 32 in SH allowed to midfielders
MTL allows 0.8 SH per game to midfielders (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 131 player-games
NeutralThe read
Over his last 10 games, Samuel Gidi has gone over 3.5 SH 0 of 10 decided times (0%) — versus 0% across the full season. MTL has been a middling matchup for midfielders this season, allowing the 19th-most SH of 32 teams (0.8 per game). His game-to-game SH have been highly variable (σ ≈ 0.6), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Fair-price calculator
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate. This demon/goblin/alternate line pays the over only — no under to price.
Over only — this payout variant doesn't take an under.
Edge vs
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 0%.