Washington Wizards

Anthony Davis Fantasy Score (PrizePicks)

Stats updated: Jan 8, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.

Anthony Davis has gone over 49.5 FS in 4 of his last 10 decided games (40%), measured against our typical-game line.

Draft: 2012 · Rd 1, Pick 1
College: Kentucky
Country: USA
Experience: 14 seasons

Verdict

vs 49.5 FSFantasy Score (PrizePicks)

No readFireFactor 12/100· model 53% under

Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)55neutral

Projection vs line53neutral

Consistency69supports it

Projection

47.7 FS(×1.01 context)

L5 44.9 · L10 47.7 · med 46.4

Consistency

Steady

floor 44.2 · ceil 55.8

Matchup

defense vs role

Recent history runs under on this line. Descriptive research from past games — not betting advice. Game-time decision — confirm status before acting.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.

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Last 55 games

40%over

2 over · 3 under

Low confidence95% CI 12%–77%

Last 1010 games

40%over

4 over · 6 under

Low confidence95% CI 17%–69%

Last 2012 games

50%over

6 over · 6 under

Low confidence95% CI 25%–75%

Season12 games

50%over

6 over · 6 under

Low confidence95% CI 25%–75%

Alternate lines — Fantasy Score (PrizePicks) (FS)

FS over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.

Over hit rate and 95% Wilson confidence interval at each alternate FS line, season window
Line	Over	O / U
	58%	7/12
	50%	6/12
	50%	6/12
49.5Current	50%	6/12
	50%	6/12
	50%	6/12
	50%	6/12

Last 12 games — FS per game vs. line 49.5. Warm = over, cool = under.

Situational splits

Over 49.5 FS by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.

Home / Away

Home63%5/8Low

Away25%1/4Low

Days since last game

0 days (B2B)50%1/2Low

1 day60%3/5Low

2 days0%0/1Low

3+ days33%1/3Low

Last matchup — @ UTA

Jan 8, 2026

11thof 30 in FS allowed to forwards

UTA allows 28.4 FS per game to forwards (rank 1 = allows the most).

Sample: 165 player-games

Neutral

The read

Over his last 10 games, Anthony Davis has gone over 49.5 FS 4 of 10 decided times (40%) — versus 50% across the full season. UTA has been a middling matchup for forwards this season, allowing the 11th-most FS of 30 teams (28.4 per game). His game-to-game FS have been fairly steady (σ ≈ 9.1), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.

Fair-price calculator

Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.

Over oddsUnder odds

Edge vs

Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 50%.