LA Clippers

Bradley Beal Steals

Stats updated: Nov 8, 2025 — nightly box scores, not live.

Bradley Beal has gone over 0.5 STL in 0 of his last 1 decided games (0%), measured against our typical-game line.

Draft: 2012 · Rd 1, Pick 3
College: Florida
Country: USA
Experience: 14 seasons

Line

PrizePicksSteals · season avg 0.0 STL · our line

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Game-Time DecisionConfirm Bradley Beal's status before the game.

Injury:: Left Hip Surgery

Beal declined his $5.6 million player option for the 2026-27 season and became a free agent earlier this offseason, but he's agreed to new terms with the Clippers. The 33-year-old never got going during the 2025-26 campaign, as he suffered a fractured left hip in November after appearing in only six matchups. It remains to be seen whether Beal will be healthy for the start of the season, though once he is, he'll be expected to offer key contributions in the backcourt alongside rookie Keaton Wagler.

Verdict

vs 0.5 STLSteals

Cold underFireFactor 54/100· model 100% under

Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)100supports it

Projection vs line95supports it

Projection

0.0 STL

L5 0.0 · L10 0.0 · med 0.0

Consistency

Variable

floor 0.0 · ceil 0.0

Matchup

defense vs role

Recent history runs under on this line on a small sample, so read with extra caution. Descriptive research from past games — not betting advice. Game-time decision — confirm status before acting.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.

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Last 51 game

0%over

0 over · 1 under

Low confidence95% CI 0%–79%

Last 101 game

0%over

0 over · 1 under

Low confidence95% CI 0%–79%

Last 201 game

0%over

0 over · 1 under

Low confidence95% CI 0%–79%

Season1 game

0%over

0 over · 1 under

Low confidence95% CI 0%–79%

Alternate lines — Steals (STL)

STL over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.

Over hit rate and 95% Wilson confidence interval at each alternate STL line, season window
Line	Over	O / U
0.5Current	0%	0/1
	0%	0/1
	0%	0/1
	0%	0/1

Last 1 games — STL per game vs. line 0.5. Warm = over, cool = under.

Situational splits

Over 0.5 STL by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.

Home / Away

Home0%0/1Low

Last matchup — vs NOP

Oct 31, 2025

23rdof 30 in STL allowed to guards

NOP allows 1.0 STL per game to guards (rank 1 = allows the most).

Sample: 222 player-games

Tough

The read

Over his last 1 games, Bradley Beal has gone over 0.5 STL 0 of 1 decided times (0%) — versus 0% across the full season. NOP has been a tough matchup for guards this season, allowing the 23rd-most STL of 30 teams (1.0 per game). His game-to-game STL have been variable (σ ≈ 0.0), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.

Fair-price calculator

Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.

Over oddsUnder odds

Edge vs

Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 0%.