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Toronto RaptorsBrandon Ingram 3-Pointers Made
Stats updated: Apr 12, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.
Brandon Ingram has gone over 1.5 3PM in 6 of his last 10 decided games (60%), measured against our typical-game line.
- Draft
- 2016 · Rd 1, Pick 2
- College
- Duke
- Country
- USA
- Experience
- 10 seasons
Top reads — this player & matchup
pick one to load it belowRanked by FireFactor for the next matchup, straight from the game logs.
Line
3-Pointers Made · season avg 2.1 3PM · our lineSave this PrizePicks prop to your Playbook to track it
Game-Time DecisionGame-Time DecisionConfirm Brandon Ingram's status before the game.
- Injury:
- Right Heel Surgery
The deal, which was agreed in principle June 30, was held up over two months due to the league's investigation involving salary-cap circumvention by Leonard and the Clippers. Ingram underwent surgery in early May to address ongoing right heel pain, so his health will be worth monitoring when he reports to Los Angeles training camp later in September.
Verdict
vs 1.5 3PM3-Pointers MadeNo readFireFactor 5/100· model 52% over
Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)66supports it
Projection vs line52neutral
Consistency0argues against it
Projection
1.5 3PM(×0.99 context)
L5 1.0 · L10 2.0 · med 2.0
Consistency
Boom-Bust
floor 0.6 · ceil 3.4
Matchup
A
defense vs role
Recent history runs over on this line. Descriptive research from past games — not betting advice. Game-time decision — confirm status before acting.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
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Last 55 games
40%over
2 over · 3 under
Low confidence95% CI 12%–77%Last 1010 games
60%over
6 over · 4 under
Low confidence95% CI 31%–83%Last 2020 games
55%over
11 over · 9 under
Medium confidence95% CI 34%–74%Season54 games
56%over
30 over · 24 under
Medium confidence95% CI 42%–68%Alternate lines — 3-Pointers Made (3PM)
3PM over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.
| Line | Over | O / U | Confidence interval |
|---|---|---|---|
| 80% | 43/54 | ||
| 1.5Current | 56% | 30/54 | |
| 41% | 22/54 | ||
| 20% | 11/54 | ||
| 11% | 6/54 |
Situational splits
Over 1.5 3PM by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
Home / Away
Home62%18/29Medium
Away48%12/25Medium
Days since last game
0 days (B2B)56%5/9Low
1 day55%11/20Medium
2 days40%4/10Low
3+ days64%9/14Medium
Last matchup — @ NYK
Apr 10, 2026
1stof 30 in 3PM allowed to forwards
NYK allows 1.8 3PM per game to forwards (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 172 player-games
FavorableThe read
Over his last 10 games, Brandon Ingram has gone over 1.5 3PM 6 of 10 decided times (60%) — versus 56% across the full season. NYK has been a favorable matchup for forwards this season, allowing the 1st-most 3PM of 30 teams (1.8 per game). His game-to-game 3PM have been highly variable (σ ≈ 1.6), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Fair-price calculator
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Edge vs
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 56%.
More Brandon Ingram research
Brandon Ingram — full profile→
Every stat, splits, chart, and matchup.
Ingram Rebounds→
Rebounds hit rates and trends.
Ingram Assists→
Assists hit rates and trends.
Ingram Steals→
Steals hit rates and trends.
Ingram Blocks→
Blocks hit rates and trends.
Defense vs Position→
Which opponents inflate or suppress this prop.
NBA Heat Check→
The strongest reads across the league.
Descriptive research from public game logs — hit rates describe past games and are not predictions, picks, or betting advice.