
G · 6-2 · 185 lb · 23 games
Stats updated: Feb 3, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.
Ranked by FireFactor for the next matchup, straight from the game logs.
Recent history runs over on this line. Descriptive research from past games — not betting advice.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
PTS over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.
| Line | Over | O / U | Confidence interval |
|---|---|---|---|
| 57% | 13/23 | ||
| 57% | 13/23 | ||
| 52% | 12/23 | ||
| 8.5Current | 52% | 12/23 | |
| 43% | 10/23 | ||
| 35% | 8/23 | ||
| 26% | 6/23 |
Over 8.5 PTS by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
BOS allows 13.6 PTS per game to guards (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 213 player-games
ToughOver his last 10 games, Cole Anthony has gone over 8.5 PTS 5 of 10 decided times (50%) — versus 52% across the full season. BOS has been a tough matchup for guards this season, allowing the 24th-most PTS of 30 teams (13.6 per game). His game-to-game PTS have been highly variable (σ ≈ 5.6), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 52%.