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Philadelphia 76ersDalen Terry
#14 · F · 6-6 · 210 lb · 23 games
Stats updated: Apr 12, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.
- Draft
- 2022 · Rd 1, Pick 18
- College
- Arizona
- Country
- USA
- Experience
- 4 seasons
Top reads — this player & matchup
pick one to load it belowRanked by FireFactor for the next matchup, straight from the game logs.
Line
Points · season avg 6.1 PTSSave this PrizePicks prop to your Playbook to track it
Verdict
vs 6.5 PTSPointsNo readFireFactor 6/100· model 57% over
Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)51neutral
Projection vs line57neutral
Consistency27argues against it
Projection
7.1 PTS(×1.10 context)
L5 6.2 · L10 6.7 · med 7.5
Consistency
Variable
floor 4.0 · ceil 8.6
Matchup
F
defense vs role
Recent history runs over on this line. Descriptive research from past games — not betting advice.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
Last 55 games
60%over
3 over · 2 under
Low confidence95% CI 23%–88%Last 1010 games
60%over
6 over · 4 under
Low confidence95% CI 31%–83%Last 2020 games
55%over
11 over · 9 under
Medium confidence95% CI 34%–74%Season23 games
48%over
11 over · 12 under
Medium confidence95% CI 29%–67%Alternate lines — Points (PTS)
PTS over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.
| Line | Over | O / U | Confidence interval |
|---|---|---|---|
| 83% | 19/23 | ||
| 74% | 17/23 | ||
| 61% | 14/23 | ||
| 6.5Current | 48% | 11/23 | |
| 39% | 9/23 | ||
| 22% | 5/23 | ||
| 4% | 1/23 |
Situational splits
Over 6.5 PTS by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
Home / Away
Home43%6/14Low
Away56%5/9Low
Days since last game
0 days (B2B)50%1/2Low
1 day44%4/9Low
2 days100%1/1Low
3+ days50%5/10Low
Last matchup — vs OKC
Mar 23, 2026
30thof 30 in PTS allowed to forwards
OKC allows 12.7 PTS per game to forwards (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 174 player-games
ToughThe read
Over his last 10 games, Dalen Terry has gone over 6.5 PTS 6 of 10 decided times (60%) — versus 48% across the full season. OKC has been a tough matchup for forwards this season, allowing the 30th-most PTS of 30 teams (12.7 per game). His game-to-game PTS have been moderately variable (σ ≈ 2.7), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Fair-price calculator
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Edge vs
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 48%.