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Sacramento KingsDe'Andre Hunter
#15 · F-G · 6-7 · 221 lb · 6 games
Stats updated: Nov 4, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.
- Draft
- 2019 · Rd 1, Pick 4
- College
- Virginia
- Country
- USA
- Experience
- 8 seasons
Top reads — this player & matchup
pick one to load it belowRanked by FireFactor for the next matchup, straight from the game logs.
Line
Points · season avg 15.7 PTS · PrizePicks lineSave this PrizePicks prop to your Playbook to track it
PrizePicks payout options — Points (PTS)
Pick any line — standard, demon (harder, pays more), goblin (easier, pays less), or an alternate with its payout multiplier — and the whole read updates to it. Only the standard line takes an under; every other variant pays the over only. Each rung’s FireFactor is scored against its OWN payout breakeven — 0 means fairly priced for that payout, not a coin flip — so rungs compare directly. The bar uses the best information available: an exact posted multiplier, else the market’s de-vigged sportsbook odds at that exact line, else a published-payout approximation.
How PrizePicks payouts work with demons & goblins
Typical entry payouts (verify in the app — they change and can vary by state): Power Play 2-pick 3×, 3-pick 5×, 4-pick 10×. Flex Play 3-pick 2.25× (1.25× one miss), 4-pick 5× (1.5× one miss), 5-pick 10× (2× / 0.4× on misses), 6-pick 25× (2× / 0.4× on misses).
Demons: Adding a demon raises the whole entry’s payout multiple (a harder line buys a bigger multiplier). Demons can only be taken as More.
Goblins: Adding a goblin lowers the whole entry’s payout multiple (an easier line costs payout). Goblins can only be taken as More and aren’t combinable with everything — the app shows the exact adjusted payout.
Game-Time DecisionGame-Time DecisionConfirm De'Andre Hunter's status before the game.
- Injury:
- Illness
Hunter is a late addition to the injury report. If he doesn't suit up Friday, Malik Monk and Leaky Black should soak up more playing time for the Kings.
Verdict
vs 12.5 PTSPointsWarm overFireFactor 47/100· model 58% over
Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)100supports it
Projection vs line58neutral
Consistency22argues against it
Matchup50neutral
Projection
14.5 PTS(×0.96 context)
L5 17.4 · L10 15.7 · med 16.5
Consistency
Variable
floor 7.0 · ceil 24.0
Matchup
C
defense vs role
Recent history runs over on this line. Descriptive research from past games — not betting advice. Game-time decision — confirm status before acting.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
Book links are referral links — we may earn a commission. It never affects the numbers on this page.
Last 55 games
80%over
4 over · 1 under
Low confidence95% CI 38%–96%Last 106 games
67%over
4 over · 2 under
Low confidence95% CI 30%–90%Last 206 games
67%over
4 over · 2 under
Low confidence95% CI 30%–90%Season6 games
67%over
4 over · 2 under
Low confidence95% CI 30%–90%Situational splits
Over 12.5 PTS by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
Home / Away
Home50%1/2Low
Away75%3/4Low
Days since last game
1 day80%4/5Low
Next matchup — vs SAS
Nov 7, 2026
14thof 30 in PTS allowed to forwards
SAS allows 12.9 PTS per game to forwards (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 27 player-games
NeutralThe read
Over his last 6 games, De'Andre Hunter has gone over 12.5 PTS 4 of 6 decided times (67%) — versus 67% across the full season. SAS has been a middling matchup for forwards this season, allowing the 14th-most PTS of 30 teams (12.9 per game). His game-to-game PTS have been highly variable (σ ≈ 7.3), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Market edgeauto
5 books @ 12.5 PTS- No-vig fair (over)
- 47.9%
- No-vig fair (under)
- 52.1%
Best Over
DraftKings+100
-4.2% EV
Best Under
BetMGM-120
-4.5% EV
Model vs market (over)+9.8%
Our model puts the over at 57.7% vs the market's no-vig 47.9%. A comparison of two numbers — not a guarantee.
Line shopping — Points (PTS)
Each book’s line and your season over rate at that number, vs the market consensus (12.5 PTS). A softer number you’d clear more often is a discount — the best one lifts the FireFactor read. Click a book to switch the whole read to it.
over rate = season hit rate at that line. Edge = points of hit rate vs the consensus line. Descriptive research from past games — not betting advice.
Fair-price calculator
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Edge vs
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 67%.