
Stats updated: Jan 18, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.
Duop Reath has gone over 12.5 FS in 5 of his last 10 decided games (50%), measured against our typical-game line.
Ranked by FireFactor for the next matchup, straight from the game logs.
With Mark Williams (shoulder) expected to miss around five months, Reath figures to compete for playing time with Khaman Maluach and Oso Ighodaro. Reath's 2025-26 campaign was cut short after he underwent right foot surgery in late January, and it's unclear if he'll be at full strength for training camp. Across 32 regular-season appearances for the Trail Blazers in 2025-26, he averaged 2.9 points and 1.2 rebounds across 8.1 minutes per contest.
Recent history runs over on this line. Descriptive research from past games — not betting advice. Game-time decision — confirm status before acting.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
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FS over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.
| Line | Over | O / U | Confidence interval |
|---|---|---|---|
| 57% | 8/14 | ||
| 57% | 8/14 | ||
| 57% | 8/14 | ||
| 12.5Current | 50% | 7/14 | |
| 43% | 6/14 | ||
| 36% | 5/14 | ||
| 14% | 2/14 |
Over 12.5 FS by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
SAC allows 34.7 FS per game to centers (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 59 player-games
FavorableOver his last 10 games, Duop Reath has gone over 12.5 FS 5 of 10 decided times (50%) — versus 50% across the full season. SAC has been a favorable matchup for centers this season, allowing the 3rd-most FS of 30 teams (34.7 per game). His game-to-game FS have been moderately variable (σ ≈ 4.7), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 50%.
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Rebounds hit rates and trends.
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Descriptive research from public game logs — hit rates describe past games and are not predictions, picks, or betting advice.