Oklahoma City Thunder

Isaiah Joe Fantasy Score (PrizePicks)

Stats updated: Oct 25, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.

Isaiah Joe has gone over 15.5 FS in 3 of his last 5 decided games (60%), measured against our typical-game line.

Draft: 2020 · Rd 2, Pick 49
College: Arkansas
Country: USA
Experience: 7 seasons

Line

PrizePicksFantasy Score (PrizePicks) · season avg 14.9 FS · our line

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Game-Time DecisionIsaiah Joe isn't expected to play — the read below describes past games only.

Injury:: Right Hip Bruise
Est. return:: Nov 8, 2026

Joe will miss Wednesday's contest due to a right hip contusion, resulting in his fifth straight absence. This will continue to open up additional minutes on the perimeter for Detroit's reserves. Joe's next opportunity to play will come Sunday against the Lakers.

Verdict

vs 15.5 FSFantasy Score (PrizePicks)

No readFireFactor 0/100· model 34% over

Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)79supports it

Projection vs line34argues against it

Consistency60neutral

Matchup25argues against it

Projection

13.7 FS(×0.89 context)

L5 14.9 · L10 14.9 · med 16.1

Consistency

Steady

floor 12.1 · ceil 18.2

Matchup

defense vs role

Player is Out — no read on this line.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.

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Last 55 games

60%over

3 over · 2 under

Low confidence95% CI 23%–88%

Last 105 games

60%over

3 over · 2 under

Low confidence95% CI 23%–88%

Last 205 games

60%over

3 over · 2 under

Low confidence95% CI 23%–88%

Season5 games

60%over

3 over · 2 under

Low confidence95% CI 23%–88%

Alternate lines — Fantasy Score (PrizePicks) (FS)

FS over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.

Over hit rate and 95% Wilson confidence interval at each alternate FS line, season window
Line	Over	O / U
	80%	4/5
	60%	3/5
	60%	3/5
15.5Current	60%	3/5
	40%	2/5
	40%	2/5
	0%	0/5

Last 5 games — FS per game vs. line 15.5. Warm = over, cool = under.

Situational splits

Over 15.5 FS by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.

Home / Away

Home50%1/2Low

Away67%2/3Low

Days since last game

2 days100%1/1Low

3+ days67%2/3Low

Next matchup — @ MEM

Nov 7, 2026

20thof 30 in FS allowed to guards

MEM allows 22.9 FS per game to guards (rank 1 = allows the most).

Sample: 23 player-games

Tough

The read

Over his last 5 games, Isaiah Joe has gone over 15.5 FS 3 of 5 decided times (60%) — versus 60% across the full season. MEM has been a tough matchup for guards this season, allowing the 20th-most FS of 30 teams (22.9 per game). His game-to-game FS have been fairly steady (σ ≈ 3.6), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.

Fair-price calculator

Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.

Over oddsUnder odds

Edge vs

Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 60%.