
Stats updated: Oct 25, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.
Isaiah Joe has gone over 14.5 PRA in 2 of his last 5 decided games (40%), measured against our typical-game line.
Joe will miss Wednesday's contest due to a right hip contusion, resulting in his fifth straight absence. This will continue to open up additional minutes on the perimeter for Detroit's reserves. Joe's next opportunity to play will come Sunday against the Lakers.
Player is Out — no read on this line.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
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PRA over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.
| Line | Over | O / U | Confidence interval |
|---|---|---|---|
| 60% | 3/5 | ||
| 40% | 2/5 | ||
| 40% | 2/5 | ||
| 14.5Current | 40% | 2/5 | |
| 40% | 2/5 | ||
| 20% | 1/5 | ||
| 0% | 0/5 |
Over 14.5 PRA by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
MEM allows 18.5 PRA per game to guards (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 23 player-games
NeutralOver his last 5 games, Isaiah Joe has gone over 14.5 PRA 2 of 5 decided times (40%) — versus 40% across the full season. MEM has been a middling matchup for guards this season, allowing the 18th-most PRA of 30 teams (18.5 per game). His game-to-game PRA have been moderately variable (σ ≈ 3.4), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 40%.
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Descriptive research from public game logs — hit rates describe past games and are not predictions, picks, or betting advice.