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New York KnicksJordan Clarkson
#00 · G · 6-5 · 194 lb · 44 games
Stats updated: Apr 12, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.
- Draft
- 2014 · Rd 2, Pick 46
- College
- Missouri
- Country
- USA
- Experience
- 12 seasons
Top reads — this player & matchup
pick one to load it belowRanked by FireFactor for the next matchup, straight from the game logs.
Line
Points · season avg 11.2 PTSSave this PrizePicks prop to your Playbook to track it
Verdict
vs 10.5 PTSPointsNo readFireFactor 6/100· model 42% over
Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)47neutral
Projection vs line42neutral
Consistency17argues against it
Projection
8.6 PTS(×0.90 context)
L5 8.0 · L10 8.9 · med 9.5
Consistency
Variable
floor 8.0 · ceil 14.4
Matchup
A
defense vs role
Recent history runs over on this line. Descriptive research from past games — not betting advice.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
Last 55 games
0%over
0 over · 5 under
Medium confidence95% CI 0%–43%Last 1010 games
10%over
1 over · 9 under
Medium confidence95% CI 2%–40%Last 2020 games
45%over
9 over · 11 under
Medium confidence95% CI 26%–66%Season44 games
52%over
23 over · 21 under
Medium confidence95% CI 38%–66%Alternate lines — Points (PTS)
PTS over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.
| Line | Over | O / U | Confidence interval |
|---|---|---|---|
| 82% | 36/44 | ||
| 70% | 31/44 | ||
| 68% | 30/44 | ||
| 10.5Current | 52% | 23/44 | |
| 41% | 18/44 | ||
| 30% | 13/44 | ||
| 25% | 11/44 |
Situational splits
Over 10.5 PTS by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
Home / Away
Home52%11/21Medium
Away52%12/23Medium
Days since last game
0 days (B2B)75%3/4Low
1 day43%10/23Medium
2 days43%3/7Low
3+ days78%7/9Low
Last matchup — vs TOR
Apr 10, 2026
6thof 30 in PTS allowed to guards
TOR allows 14.7 PTS per game to guards (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 224 player-games
FavorableThe read
Over his last 10 games, Jordan Clarkson has gone over 10.5 PTS 1 of 10 decided times (10%) — versus 52% across the full season. TOR has been a favorable matchup for guards this season, allowing the 6th-most PTS of 30 teams (14.7 per game). His game-to-game PTS have been highly variable (σ ≈ 5.6), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Fair-price calculator
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Edge vs
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 52%.